TV interview with Between the Lines on Channel NewAsia, Singapore's leading English-language TV channel, broadcast on 2 July, the day following a massive public demonstration in the streets of Hong Kong on the 17th anniversary of the return of Hong Kong to China as a Special Adminstrative Region.
To view, press "View my playlist". My appearance is in the second part of the show.
For reference, please visit an article in the Financial Times dated 8 July 2014 by Liu Xiaoming, China's Ambassador to Britain, explaining why Hong Kong's political reform must conform with the Basic Law, Hong Kong's mini-constitution.
While the two sides of One Country Two Systems have become more and more intertwined economically, the hearts and minds of Hong Kong's younger generation remain more estranged from, than returned to, the motherland. That was my take at an interview on CCTV English based in Beijing aired on 2 July, 2014.
My TV interview on Talk Show with TDM (Teledifusão de Macau), a Macao goverment-sponsored TV station. Broadcast on 26 June, 2014, this half-hour one-on-one show explored the foreign relations implications of a Rising China and the potential conflicts over the East and South China Seas.
A detailed Reuters Special Report dated 23 May 2014 alleges that according to its sources, China’s leadership believes Zhou Yongkang, China’s former domestic security chief, was making a move to grab power during the 2012 leadership transition.
Considering the amount of detail, Reuters sources must have deliberately leaked the maze of Zhou's corrupt network and political intrique to the Western media possibly in preparation for a formal trial of tbe biggest tiger in modern times threatening the very stability or even survival of the Communist Party of China (CPC).
By most accounts, the corruption investigations of Zhou Yongkang seem to be nearing the finale, widely expected to be unveiled in coming months.
For background to the Zhou Yongkang case and its intricate links to the Bo Xilai affair, please visit my earlier analysis "The curious case of Bo Xilai (Part II)" dated 12 April, 2012 here It now seems that my prognosis more than two years ago is now finally being substantiated.
The huge energy deal enables Russia to supply 38 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas to China each year for 30 years under a contract valued in excess of US$400 billion overall. See a report of the South China Morning Post here
Before the deal was signed at the eleventh hour on 21 May, my live TV interview with RT on 20 May tried to pinpoint some of the geopolitical considerations involved on both sides and their impact on the world order.
TV interview panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera English Channel based in Doha on 15 April, 2014. Other panelists were Peter Roberts - senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in London and Tim Brown - senior fellow at GlobalSecurity.org in Washington D.C. RUSI is an independent world-renowned think tank in cutting-edge defence and security research, founded in 1831 by the Duke of Wellington.
In a series of research reports, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) propounds on China's dramatic urbanization drive.
In a report dated March 2014 "China’s urban dreams, and the regional reality", herethe EIU highlights the following findings -
(a) China's urban population will increase by 268 million between 2010-2030, to a total of 949 million. This accounts for a fifth of global urban growth, in line with the size of China's total population. Indeed, it masks a decline in urban population growth rates, dropping from an average of 5.4% p.a. during 1981-2010 to an average of 1.7% for the 2010-30 period.
(b) While the impact of the One Child Policy is crucial, economic and changing cultural factors are likely to remain key determinants of China's population growth. An immediate lifting of all birth restrictions would increase the total population by only around 25m against the base forecasts by 2030. Indeed, the population is likely to decline after peaking in the mid- 2040s.
(c) Huge regional variations will be the reality. Eastern China, led by Guangdong, will see its urban population increase by 124.4m over 2010-30 while Central China will witness a rise of 71.2m. One-fifth of China’s prefecture-level cities will lag behind with an urbanisation rate below 50%, while another one-fifth will exceed the key threshold of 80%, on a par with cities in developed economies.
(d) A number of expanding cities like Hefei and Wuhan in Anhui province are likley to become important centres of industry and consumption. However, cities in north-eastern and western China are likely to face mounting challenges in public infrastructure, such as mass transport systems, utilities, as well as education and health services.
In an earlier report dated 9 July, 2012, the EIU focused on "Supersized cities: China’s 13 megalopolises".Its findings here with a snapshot of these megapolicies include -
(a) While natural population growth has virtually grinded to a halt in smaller cities, megacitis continued to see their population rise sharply in recent years owing to rural migration.
(b) Not all megalopolises will reach middle-class status by 2020. The proportion of the population earning more than Rmb30,000—EIU's benchmark for middle-class status—now averages above 40% in greater Beijing, greater Shanghai and Shenzhen.By 2020 the 50% threshold will be reached by most of the megacity clusters. But greater Zhengzhou, greater Shenyang and Chongqing are likely to fail to reach the 50% mark by 2020.