A 10th October Lowy Institute Analysis by Thomas Wright explores "how US foreign policy would change should Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton win the US presidential election. Wright argues that a Trump presidency could see the United States undermine the liberal international order that it helped to establish. Clinton, by contrast, would be a more traditional internationalist president".
- "Trump’s foreign policy will very likely be informed by his core beliefs: opposition to America’s alliance relationships; opposition to free trade; and support for authoritarianism, particularly in Russia".
- "Clinton’s foreign policy is likely to reflect a more traditional internationalism, but may also distinguish itself from the Obama administration by a greater effort to deal with regional challenges to order in the Middle East, Europe, and Asia".
- "If Clinton wins, she will need to respond to growing populist and nationalist sentiment in America in favour of limiting US engagement in the world".
Never before is an American presidential election been watched and debated so closely by so many nations, most of all the world's rising powers. All, not least Russia and China, are geared up in anticipation of a potential paradigm shift in the dynamics of the world order.
A Brookings Institution analysis by Jeffrey Bader dated 10 October "A framework for U.S. policy toward China" offers some possible pointers on how a new US President, particularly if Clinton wins, may re-calibrate policies in relation to a rising China.