Greetings! My very best wishes to you and your family for an enjoyable and restful summer.
As we go about our daily life and business, the world is becoming increasingly confrontational. Order and trust seem to be breaking down.
A rising Islamic State (ISIS) is occupying a large swathe of territory in Iraq and Syria. Important historical artifacts and heritage sites had been vandalized, pilfered or smashed. No superpower seems able or willing to go all the way to stop it in its tracks.
In the Asia-Pacific, the United States, along with Japan, seems to be intensifying covert or overt tussles with a rising and more assertive China. These manifest themselves in military, trade, economic, and other forms of power rivalry in the South China Sea and beyond.
In Hong Kong, at the time of writing, the impasse over the shape of universal suffrage for the election of the Chief Executive (top leader) in 2017 is looking increasingly ominous. Lack of sufficient votes in the Legislature for the government’s proposals to pass seems a certainty. The endgame is up on 17 June when the proposals are widely expected to be voted down, barring last-minute black swans.
In a rapidly changing world that is becoming more Monet than Caravaggio, you may wish to visit some of the following for perspectives on what is going on in the world beneath the surface.
Geopolitics and International Relations
Are China’s ambitions in the South China Sea a threat? (A TV panel debate on Inside Story with Aljazeera English during the Asia Security Summit in Singapore, 29-31 May)
US-China 21- The Future of US-China Relations under Xi Jinping ( A Report for the Harvard Kennedy School by the Honourable Kevin Rudd, former Prime Minister of Australia)
Explaining China's Foreign Policy Reset (A Paper by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR))
Russia-China relations and the changing world order (Radio interview on The World Tonight with BBC World Service)
Resurgence of Russia and China from an Islamic perspective (2015 Annual Strategic Brief by The Institute for Islamic Strategic Affairs (IISA), a London-based think-tank)
China's Energy Dynamics 2015 (My Paper in Surviving the Storm, The New Geopolitics of Energy published by the Medina Publishing Ltd, United Kingdom)
US forbids Intel from exporting chips to China for updating world's currently most powerful supercomputer (BBC story and live interview on RT) Click here
Europe's Shattered Dream of Order (A Foreign Affairs analysis)
Civil War in Yemen (An ECFR analysis by a seasoned Yemen specialist)
Warnings of China's imminent collapse are - once again - greatly exaggerated (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)
Communist Youth League to recruit over 10 million volunteer netizens by end of June (An overview)
China unveils roadmap to judicial, social reform (A report in the People’s Daily)
Is China’s One Party rule about to collapse? (An in-depth analysis
One Belt, One Road - China's Great Leap Forward (A compendium of analyses of practical, geoeconomic and geo-political implications)
One Belt, One Road – Implications for the European Union (A research note prepared by the EU Academic Programme, Hong Kong)
China’s Manufacturing Strategy – Made in China 2015 (A synopsis)
Why China's consumers will continue to surprise the world (A McKinsey analysis )
World Economic Conditions Snapshot, March 2015 (2015 McKinsey global survey)
The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends (A Mckinsey report )
Reforming Shadow Banking in China (A Summary of a Brookings Institution Paper)
Shedding light on China's shadow banking (A collection of in-depth analyses )
Hard Choices – Towards a Water and Energy Secure China (Report of China Water Risk, a Hong Kong-based think tank)
Water Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (“Water Ten Directives”) (An analysis )
China’s Military Strategy 2015 (A White Paper)
Cheer up and chill out
If the above reading appears too serious, you may wish to relax a bit by checking out my website’s repertoire of inspirational music videos,nature at its best, moving songs, words of wisdom, as well as fun and humour, including a collection in Chinese.
RSS feed and weblinks
This newsletter is uploaded to my web site here so that you may save it for reading at leisure. If you wish to share it with your colleagues and friends, you may use the web link on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices.
My postings are regularly uploaded under the three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on my website http://www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com If you wish instant access as soon as they appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is absolutely free of charge.
My web site also includes a collection of mainstream China media and research sites under China Links. You may find it convenient to save my website link on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource.
Real-time consultation service
If you wish to consult me on strategic issues on China by telephone, Skype or video conferencing, including corporate board meetings, please email me personally at firstname.lastname@example.org
For speedy response, please text message me at my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987. I can also be reached on Skype atandrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook atandrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung.
Speaking and lecturing opportunities
Throughout the year, I am open to invitations for speaking engagements, visiting lectures, university summer programs, or tailor-made electives on China as a visiting professor anywhere around the world, using English or Putonghua as a medium of instruction. I am prepared to stay on or near the campus for anything up to several weeks. Please email me with proposals.
A business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives’ Global Network (EGN) Hong Kong, I wish to extend to you the opportunity of fielding a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support or that of your organization, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.
For background on EGN, please visit the following links -
Summer sojourns in London and Tuscany
I will be visiting London from end-June to early-September this year. Up to now, I have accepted an invitation to address the Reform Club, the National Liberal Club, and the Cass Business School. If you wish to make use of my summer stay in London, please give me a shout at email@example.com .
Separately, my family will be enjoying a week’s relaxation at a small garden villa near Florence commencing Saturday 29 August. You are welcome to visit us for tea or stay with us to share the delights of the Tuscan hills. If you are so inclined, please tell us early so that suitable arrangements can be made. Owing to space limitations, we can take on only up to two couples.
Scam – stolen identity
My identity was stolen by hackers in the wake of my last e-Newsletter. I have since changed to more robust passwords for all my email accounts. There is, however, an impersonation using a make-believe email address firstname.lastname@example.org If you should come across mail from this address, it’s not yours truly.
I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. Please feel free to share any of my papers, articles, presentations, and TV interviews with your colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.
If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please tell me how I may help. On the other hand, if for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently.
Best personal regards,
Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy)
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List