CHINAwatch

China extracts 861,400 cubic metres of natural gas from ‘flammable ice’ in South China Sea

The global Coronavirus crisis is easy to drown out bits of game-changing jigsaw set to change the fracturing existing world order. One such is the above report in the South China Morning Post of 27 March, 2020. The implications were expounded upon in my CHINAwatch post dated 22 October 2020. 

China in a New Era of Global Disruptions (including Covid-19 pandemic)

PowerPoint presentation to a Joint Meeting of the EGN Founding Chairmen’ Group and the CEO Pioneers Group on 20 March, 2020. 

Download China in a New Era of Global Disruptions 

China has created tech ‘new world order’ in Big data and AI

The Future Today Institute, a US think tank, released its 2020 Tech Trend Report on 16 March, 2020, highlighting China's "prolific dominance" in multiple areas, despite unprecedented headwinds. In particular, it calls attention to China's creation of a "new world order" in cutting-edge technologies like Big Data and AI.

Download 9-Key-Takeaways

Download 2020-Trend-Highlights

Download FTI_Trends_2020 (Full Report)

Trump threatens to cut off intelligence sharing with countries using Huawei

Live TV interview with PressTV on 17 February, 2020

China succeeds in mass extraction of combustable methane hydrates in the South China Sea

According to a Weixin report (in Chinese) on 22 October, 2019, using a semi-submersible drilling platform (Blue Whale One) measuring 117m x 92.7m x 118m tall in the South China Sea, China achieved the world's first breakthrough in extracting scalable quantities of methane hydrates ("inflammable ice"). The project's inception was reported in the South China Morning Post on 19 May, 2017

The strategic significance is obvious. As the largest energy consumer, China has to rely on oil and gas imports over long distances through "choke points" (e.g. the Strait of Hormuz and the Malacca Strait) vulnerable to foreign powers. On the environmental front, China is the world's largest coal consumer, contributing to carbon emissions and smogs in many Chinese cities.

Methane hydrates are a lot less polluting but ten times more energy- rich per unit compared to coal, oil, and natural gas. It is estimated that one cubic meter of methane hydrates is equivalent to 160 cubic meters of natural gas.

The global reserve of methane hydrates is twice as much as all other known fossil fuels combined, enough for 1,000 years of human consumption. China's gas hydrates reserve is estimated at 100 billion tons of oil-equivalents, of which 80% lies in the South China Sea.

The successful extraction marks a significant milestone in utilization of alternative sources of energy for China. It also explains why China has been so assertive to safeguard territorial claims in the South China Sea.

State of The Play on US-China Competition - Center for Strategic and International Studies

Audio interview with Steve Hadley, former National Security Advisor, on 8 October, 2019, touching on the debate on U.S.-China competition.  "Is the Washington panic on China out of step with how the rest of the country views China? How can we best encapsulate the current state of the relationship? Are China’s domestic politics or foreign policy shapeable".

President Xi's visit to India following Pakistan PM's visit to Beijing

Live TV interview of 8 October, 2019 on IndusNews

Cross Talk: Communist China at 70

Cross Talk debate on RT released on 2 October, 2019. (Broadcasting from Moscow and Washington D.C. channels, RT was the first news channel to break one billion YouTube viewers benchmark. It is now the No.1 TV news network on YouTube with more than nine billion views across its channels and over 14 million subscribers.)

China at 70 has much to celebrate, but its biggest challenges lie ahead

Cary Huang's column of 29 September in the South China Morning Post gives an up-to-date catalogue of China's impressive achievements under the Communist Party of China. In just seven decades, what would have taken the West centuries, a poverty-stricken, internationally weak, and backward Chinese nation has been turned into an economic and geopolitical powerhouse, a leading engine of global growth projecting influence across continents and oceans. A video clip From Ashes to Prosperity shows what breathtaking transformation the nation has undergone since the ravages wrought by the Japanese invasion. 

Huang mentions that "per capita GDP rose from just US$200 in 1979 – when 80 per cent of Chinese lived in absolute poverty in rural areas – to around US$10,000 last year, firmly in middle-income territory." This is singularly instructive, as China seems to have successfully escaped the much-hyped "middle-income trap". 

At his latest address at the United Nations, President Trump suggested that as the world's second largest economy, China is already an advanced country. It cannot pretend to remain a developing nation, thereby gaming the international trading system. Huang's observation is timely that "China is still neither an advanced nor a developed country. Nor can it properly be described as a rich nation. It is a developing giant on the world stage." His assertion is supported by China's GDP per capita below the worldwide average of US$11,570, not to mention backwardness in many other metrics, including the environment and institutions. 

This helps to debunk popular Sinophobia that China is a global superpower threatening to impose an authoritarian model on the rest of the world. "To be a true superpower, a country must wield global influence in many, varied spheres: in economics, in science and technology, in military matters and in soft power." In economics, China perhaps scores an A. But the country still lags far behind the United States in global military capabilities and behind many Western advanced countries, big and small, in scientific breakthroughs. "China has just three Nobel Prizes; one for science, one for literature and one for peace (the last of which was awarded against Beijing’s will)," Huang observes. 

Above all, "Today, every single nation to have joined the 36-member Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has been not only a market economy, but also a free democracy." Despite its dramatic ascendancy, China's massive deficit of soft power stands in the way of its achievement of great power status. No matter how well China may excel in other fields, and how more influential China becomes globally, this deficit in soft power of universal appeal is likely to remain a stumbling block along the nation's ambitious trajectory. 

The concentration of power under President Xi may be necessary to combat corrupt interests and political detractors in order to steer the nation on course to realize the China Dream of becoming a fully developed nation by 2049, the hundredth anniversary of the Communist Party of China. However, with the rapid rise of a university-educated middle class, the goal's realization is likely to depend on a willingness to embrace modernity in governance – democracy, freedom and the rule of law.  

Why China says "No" to US arms control idea after US-Russian row over Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty

Live TV panel discussion on PressTV on  23 August 2019