What's New

Should HK permanent residents on the Mainland be assisted to exercise their right to vote

Backchat on 12 October 2020 with RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) (The relevant discussion is in the second last bar, starting from time counter 05:12. My intervention begins from time counter 12:23) 

A post-Trump era; Hong Kong 2020 and beyond

A presentation to the EGN Founding Chairmen Group, Hong Kong SAR on 12 October 2020.

Download A Post-Trump era - HK 2020 and beyond  

 

M & A opportunities

UK properties and other assets 

Download UK property portfolio & rare Scotch whiskies 

The future of RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong)

Backchat on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) on 29 September 2020. (My contribution is located in the third bar, Part 2, starting from time-counter 17:28) 

Andrew's October 2020 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my October 2020 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings! 

 

In less than a year, the world has turned upside down. A global pandemic of the century remains on the rampage. A new US Cold War against China is raging in all but name, fracturing the world's intricately linked supply and value chain. Political and military tensions are rising in the world's hotspots. China-India clashes high in the Himalayan borders, dark clouds over the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, all come to mind. Behind it all is a shifting of global power, from the West to the East, from developed to the developing world, and from Western maritime to Eastern continental powers. 

 

In these turbulent times, there is no lack of misjudgement, denialism, wishful-thinking, and double-standard obfuscation, not to mention imponderables over the imminent US presidential election. Seeing the wood for the trees can be challenging. The following may hopefully offer some new perspectives. 

 

World Order

How Eurasian Integration of China's Belt & Road Initiative defends a Multipolar World Order (PowerPoint presentation to 7th International Conference on Eurasian Politics & Society (IEPAS 2020) in Lisbon (via Zoom) 

Ten Reasons Why the Coronavirus Crisis Will Spawn a Brave New World of Discord (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

Thanks to Covid-19, are we facing a turning point in history? (An in-depth analysis) 

China Has Two Paths to Global Domination (An in-depth analysis) 

 

US-China relations

Why the new US ‘China scare’ is big on pressure, short on vision (Op-ed in South China Morning Post) 

The reality of China Scare and the resultant Age of Disorder (An in-depth analysis) 

New Cold War: De-risking US-China conflict (A Hindrich Foundation report) 

China Is Done Biding Its Time? But what is America's end-game? (An in-depth analysis) 

US weaponizes everything from Hong Kong to Huawei to exert pressure on Beijing (Op-ed in Sputnik International) 

China takes possession of closed US consulate in Chengdu (Live interview on Press TV) 

China condemns U.S. requirement to close Chinese consulate in Houston (Live interview on Press TV) 

US Navy to send two aircraft carriers and several warships to South China Sea (Live interview on Press TV)

 

Tech war

US Tick Tok ban: what's next?  (Live TV interview with Indus News) 

Why UK now bans Huawei (Live TV interview on RT International) 

Strategic US-China decoupling in the tech sector (A Hindrich Foundation report - repeated from June 2020 Newsletter) 

Automakers file lawsuits against Trump administration (Live interview on Press TV)

 

Hong Kong

HK National Security Law - Death of Hong Kong? (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

Succinct exposé why HK's National Security law is now needed (Canadian YouTuber video clip) 

Secrecy and drafting of the Hong Kong national security law (Backchat on RTHK)

China strongly condemns UK interference over Hong Kong's national security law (Live interview on Press TV)

US enacts HK Autonomy Act and ends HK's special privileges (Backchat on RTHK) 

China to reciprocate US sanctions after Trump ends Hong Kong special status (Live interview on Press TV)

Will Hong Kong survive cancellation of special status? (A PowerPoint presentation) 

"Made in Hong Kong" no longer?  (Backchat on RTHK) 

Hong Kong to complain to WTO on US re-labelling HK goods as "Made in China"  (Live interview on Press TV) 

US-China worsening relations and impact on Hong Kong (Backchat on RTHK) 

NPCSC meeting and postponement of Hong Kong's Legco election  (Backchat on RTHK) 

Hong Kong issues arrest warrants for anti-Beijing activists (Live TV interview on TRT) 

Is democracy dead in Hong Kong?  (TV panel discussion on Inside Story, Aljazeera English Channel) 

Hong Kong's national security law and freedom of speech (Backchat on RTHK) 

Should Hong Kong's September LegCo election be postponed? (Backchat on RTHK) 

Shenzhen 40th anniversary, Greater Bay Area and what HK makes of it  (Backchat on RTHK) 

 

India-China stand-off

India-China deadly clashes in the Galwan Valley Himalayan border (An in-depth analysis) 

Battle of rhetoric in the India-China standoff  (Live TV interview on CNN News 18 of India) 

China-India tensions: Neighbors engage in blame game over fresh border escalation (Live interview on Press TV)

Indian PM Modi's visit to Leh on India-China border conflict (Live TV interview on CNN News 18 of India) 

 

ASEAN

ASEAN reference to US-China Cold War in Pacific (Live TV discussion on Indus News) 

 

Taiwan

China says Czech Senate speaker to pay heavy price for making visit to Taiwan (Live interview on Press TV) 

China opposes US official's Taiwan visit (Live interview on Press TV)

In affront to China, US announces highest-level visit to Taiwan in decades (Live interview on Press TV) 

 

Middle East

Pompeo: Chinese trade deal with Iran will destabilize Middle East (Live interview on Press TV) 

China urges IAEA to stop politicizing Iran deal (Live interview on Press TV) 

 

Australia-China relations

Worsening Australia-China relations and what to do about it (An in-depth analysis) 

 

China's national politics

Are elites fleeing China and what of President's Xi's abolition of term limits?  (Live interview on CNN News 18 of India) 

 

Climate Change

China’s Response to Climate Change: A Study in Contrasts and a Policy at a Crossroads (An Asia Society Policy Institute Paper)  

 

Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. A UK property and alternative asset opportunity is featured here .

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20)

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)

Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

"Made in Hong Kong" no longer?

Backchat on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) on 18 September, 2020 (My interventions started at time counter 23:18 and 30:08 in the top bar) 

The reality of China Scare and the resultant Age of Disorder

In an across-the-board analysis dated 14 October, 2019 for a controversial online platform, the Unz Review, Godfree Roberts delineates China's rapid and alarming catchup with the United States, including ascendance and even dominance in a panoply of great power metrics including Government, Leadership, Economy, Infrastructure, Geopolitics, Finance, Science, Technology, Trade, Social Indicators, Education, Law and Order, Faith in Future, Socio-Economic Ecology; Politics, Defense, Morale, and Long-term Economic Ascendancy.

The analysis, however, fails to acknowledge the unyielding dominance of the greenback, America's military sophistication and global reach, its leadership on the frontier of science and technology, its global network of allies, and the soft power of the "City upon a Hill". Nearly two and a half centuries of American ascendance and exceptionalism have driven a strong sense of self-denial that a "dictatorial" China, a once-backward country for well over a century, cannot be allowed to share power with the United States imbued with a "manifest destiny". 

Nevertheless, much of the prognosis has given substance to American paranoia or hysteria that an emerging  "Frankenstein" (in Secretary of State Mike Pomeo's words) with a diametrically-opposed value system and an alien civilization is setting out to destroy the US-led global liberal order. Across the political aisle, there is American consensus that China's rise must now be pushed back, contained, and thwarted across-the-board, at all costs, before it is too late. The outcome is the increasingly decoupling from China, protectionism, de-globalization, and the return of the rule of the jungle. 

China is deeply and intricately embedded in the whole world's supply and value chain, exemplified by concentration of the world's largest container ports on its shores. Some 124 countries across the globe have China as the largest trading partner, compared with 76 countries with the US. Many products, components and processes are globally diversified but with China as the central hub. Vigorous anti-China decoupling and fragmentation are massively disruptive to markets and economies worldwide.

The Age of Disorder has arrived, according to a Long-term Asset Return Study by Deutsche Bank, London dated 8 September, 2020, referring to upheavals of epochal US-China rivalry, a struggling European Union, Covid-19 impacts, rising inequality, worsening demographics, inter-generational divide, and climate change coming up close and personal. US strangling notwithstanding, the study expects that in nominal terms, China's economy will overtake the US by end decade, or thereabouts (p.6). 

Be that as it may, too much doom and gloom may be premature. The outcome of the coming US presidential election, China's next Five Year Plan (2021-25), recovery from Covid-19, coming-into-being of the world's largest free-trade bloc - the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), the advent of 5G and "Internet of Things", emerging Eurasian economic and geopolitical gravitas, and maturing of international relations, all could recalibrate how the next new normal is going to work. 

Shenzhen 40th anniversary, Greater Bay Area and what HK makes of it

Backchat with RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) on 27 August, 2020 (My segment is in the bottom bar, from 9:15 - 9:30 a.m., time counter 04:00)

Family gathering (1980's)

Download 8mm - Family gatheing 1980's (A children's birthday party at McDonald's)

Hong Kong to complain to WTO on US re-labelling HK goods as "Made in China"

Live TV interview with Press TV on 18 August, 2020