A John L Thornton China Centre paper of the Brookings Institution dated March 2012 features two separate perspectives and a common set of recommenations on "Addressing U.S.-China Strategic Distrust". Click here
The American perspective comes from Kenneth Lieberthal, Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy and in Global Economy and Development at Brookings and Director of its John L Thornton China Centre. The Chinese perspective comes from Wang Jisi, Director of the Centre for International and Strategic Studies and Dean of the School of International Studies at Peking University.
Both perspectives suggest that neither the U.S. nor China necessarily thinks that confrontation is the best policy in a mature relationship. The U.S. is prepared to accommodate and indeed welcome China's rise as a responsible superpower while China is not prepared to replace America's global leadership.
However, both the U.S. and China deeply feel that their specific strategic concerns are not appreciated and addressed by the other side, resulting in a deepening of "strategic mistrust" and a security dilemma which can spiral out of proportion.
To minimize mistrust and facilitate mutual understanding and cooperation, the authors recommend "creative thinking" in areas of economics and trade; military affairs; cyber security; and trilateral dialogues - China-Japan-U.S. and U.S.-China- India. to address issues of common regional interests.
The authors recognize that "if such dialogues and related actions do not prove effective, then both leaderships should very carefully consider how to manage U.S.- China relations so as to maximize cooperation and minimize the tensions and conflict, despite each other's deep distrust of the long-term intenions of the other."
China-bashing is not new to Americam politics but has taken centre-stage in the current presidential election campaign. Electioneering is one thing but an all-out confrontation with China after the U.S. election would be "reckless", according to Ed Gresser, director of ProgressiveEconomy, a trade and global-economy research program at the GlobalWorks Foundation in Washington, DC. Indeed, while accustomed to the campaign rhetoric, "China could decide to
“walk away” first from a dysfunctional, polarized, deficit-ridden
partner, insecure about its own decline and intent on dragging others
down with it", as the header for Gresser's article dated 15 October 2012 in YaleGlobal Online has it. Click here
Perhaps the China conundrum could be viewed in the context of how American global interests could best be served in a "Grand Design" advanced by Zbigniew Brzezinski, a doyen in U.S. foreign policy. This global vision has two key tenets - a ""Larger West" and a “Complex East”, where the U.S. acts as “regional balancer”, “replicating
the role played by the United Kingdom in intra European politics during
the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries.”
The latter strategy is underpinned by the nurturing of a "U.S.-Japan-China Cooperative Triangle" and managing confrontational U.S. military manoeuvres such as repeated arms sales to Taiwan and periodic U.S. naval patrols within international waters that are also
part of the Chinese economic zone, which are "as provocative to Beijing as
the reverse situation would be to Washington”.
For an introduction to Brzezinski's "Grand Design", click here
In the final analysis, China's rise is a historic turning of the tide where U.S.-China relationship is set to define the shape of the 21st century, for better or for worse. Nothing should be left to chance as no less than the world's stability and prosperity are at stake.
Much of the distrust between U.S. and China lies initially in lack of understanding and appreciation of each other's key strategic interests.
While ultimately action speaks louder than words, the first step of closer and more frequent dialogue can always be taken without any pre-conditions. For dialogue will at least lead to greater understanding. It will minimize the chances of miscalculation and mis-manoeuvre as much as maximize the chances for closer cooperation and trust-building.
Both sides may be pleasantly surprised at how far each creative step forward will lead to another in the right direction.