Greetings! I hope you have had a well-earned respite in the holiday season.
A summer of serial crises has left the world shocked, if not stirred, into a state of anxious resignation. A Greek crisis "Act II", China's great stock-market fall, a sudden stand-off in the Korean peninsular, collapse in global oil and commodity prices, and on-going turmoil in Syria spilling over into a massive refugee crisis across Europe.
A summer of serial crises has left the world shocked, if not stirred, into a state of anxious resignation. A Greek crisis "Act II", China's great stock-market fall, a sudden stand-off in the Korean peninsular, collapse in global oil and commodity prices, and on-going turmoil in Syria spilling over into a massive refugee crisis across Europe.
Geopolitical rivalry between US and China seems to be intensifying. Japan's revision of her peace-time constitution is as instructive as the estrangement from China of two other US regional allies - Vietnam and the Philippines. This is reminiscent of the kind of "re-balancing" and outsourced "buck-passing" as theorized in "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" (Mearsheimer, 2001). China has responded with a grand design of One Belt One Road, a pivot to the West. President Xi's first state visit to the United States signals the need for a change of tone. However, the essential rivalry is likely to remain.
The following pieces may hopefully offer you some useful food for thought.
Geopolitics and international relations
America must face up to China's rising global clout (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) A fuller and more explicit version is America should share power and responsibility to shape a Rising China .
Global dynamics of the China Dream (and possible Turkish-China partnership, a full-length peer-reviewed paper published in International Relations and Diplomacy, an international research-based journal).
North Korea: escalation or peace opportunity? (TV panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera English Channel)
China and the Emerging Order in the East and South China Seas (A Chatham House research paper)
China and the New Silk Road: From Oil Wells to the Moon… and Beyond (An analysis by the UK-based non-profit Red (Team) Analysis Society)
The China Dream - President Xi’s ambitions for China and implications for world order (PowerPoint presentation as Guest Speaker at a black-tie dinner on 8th July, 2015 at the Reform Club, Pall Mall, London)
One Belt, One Road - China's Great Leap Forward (A compendium of analyses by Mainland Chinese and overseas experts compiled by the European Council for Foreign Relations, a Brussels-based global think-tank)
Why Egypt is building a wider Suez Canal? (A geo-economic analysis)
The complex proxy web of political tussel in the Middle East (Made simple by a Daily Chart in The Economist)
Pentagon warns of threats from ISIS, Russia and possibly China (Live interview on RT with reference to Pentagon's 2015 National Military Strategy).
Geopolitics and international relations
America must face up to China's rising global clout (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) A fuller and more explicit version is America should share power and responsibility to shape a Rising China .
Global dynamics of the China Dream (and possible Turkish-China partnership, a full-length peer-reviewed paper published in International Relations and Diplomacy, an international research-based journal).
North Korea: escalation or peace opportunity? (TV panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera English Channel)
China and the Emerging Order in the East and South China Seas (A Chatham House research paper)
China and the New Silk Road: From Oil Wells to the Moon… and Beyond (An analysis by the UK-based non-profit Red (Team) Analysis Society)
The China Dream - President Xi’s ambitions for China and implications for world order (PowerPoint presentation as Guest Speaker at a black-tie dinner on 8th July, 2015 at the Reform Club, Pall Mall, London)
One Belt, One Road - China's Great Leap Forward (A compendium of analyses by Mainland Chinese and overseas experts compiled by the European Council for Foreign Relations, a Brussels-based global think-tank)
Why Egypt is building a wider Suez Canal? (A geo-economic analysis)
The complex proxy web of political tussel in the Middle East (Made simple by a Daily Chart in The Economist)
Pentagon warns of threats from ISIS, Russia and possibly China (Live interview on RT with reference to Pentagon's 2015 National Military Strategy).
Economics and Finance
China 2016 (A comprehensive overview by China Compass, an international advisory and procurement consultancy)
China's economy increasingly driven by private sector innovation and consumption (Post-market-clash business survey by The Economist)
China's economy increasingly driven by private sector innovation and consumption (Post-market-clash business survey by The Economist)
How will Beijing stimulate its slowing economy? (A critical analysis by Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy)
China's Manufacturing Strategy - Made in China 2025 (An analysis) Historical backdrop (An earlier Phoenix TV documentary in putonghua and Cantonese with Chinese subtitles)
RMB devaluation, currency war and growth conundrum (My feature article in the India-based Global Analyst)
"$26 trillion debt problem crushing China competitiveness" (An analysis)
Bloodbath in China's stock market belies reform agenda? (An analysis)
China's stock market crash reflects a closed economy? (Live interview on BBC Radio 4)
Chinese stocks rebound after dramatic losses (Live TV interview on The World with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
The Silk Road and the Fragrant Harbour (PowerPoint presentation as National Liberal's AGM Guest Speake at the National Liberal Club, Whitehall Place, London)
Latin American exports increasingly dependent on China (A working paper by BBVA, a Spanish bank)
Building BRICS influence, challenging the global financial order? (TV panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera English)
Energy
China's Manufacturing Strategy - Made in China 2025 (An analysis) Historical backdrop (An earlier Phoenix TV documentary in putonghua and Cantonese with Chinese subtitles)
RMB devaluation, currency war and growth conundrum (My feature article in the India-based Global Analyst)
"$26 trillion debt problem crushing China competitiveness" (An analysis)
Bloodbath in China's stock market belies reform agenda? (An analysis)
China's stock market crash reflects a closed economy? (Live interview on BBC Radio 4)
Chinese stocks rebound after dramatic losses (Live TV interview on The World with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
The Silk Road and the Fragrant Harbour (PowerPoint presentation as National Liberal's AGM Guest Speake at the National Liberal Club, Whitehall Place, London)
Latin American exports increasingly dependent on China (A working paper by BBVA, a Spanish bank)
Building BRICS influence, challenging the global financial order? (TV panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera English)
Energy
Shale Revolution in the Golden Age of Gas (A PowerPoint presentation at the 10th Energy and Finance Conference, CASS Business School. London)
Hong Kong
How Hong Kong's Pan Democrats can win both ways (How the Pan Democrats could have won both ways before the pro-establishment camp's last-minute voting cockup)
Cheer up and chill out
How Hong Kong's Pan Democrats can win both ways (How the Pan Democrats could have won both ways before the pro-establishment camp's last-minute voting cockup)
Cheer up and chill out
If the above reading appears too serious, you may find an antidote in my website’s repertoire of inspirational music and nature videos, emotive songs and words of wisdom, fun and humor, including a collection in Chinese.
A Tuscan summer
We enjoyed a balmy week in a villa up in the hills near Florence. Some of the sights and moments are captured in a music video with a sketch and poem in situ.
RSS feed and weblinks
This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure. You may also share the link with your colleagues and friends on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices.
My postings are regularly uploaded under the three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on my website www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com
If you wish instant access as soon as these postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is absolutely free of charge.
My website also includes a collection of mainstream China media and research sites under China Links. You may find it convenient to save my website link on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource.
Consultation services
If you wish to consult on strategic issues for various reasons including corporate board meetings, you may do so by telephone, Skype or video conferencing. Please email me personally at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.
I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at atandrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung.
Speaking and lecturing opportunities
Throughout the year, I am open to invitations for speaking engagements, visiting lectures, university summer programs, or tailor-made electives on China as a visiting/adjunct professor anywhere around the world, using English or Putonghua as a medium of instruction. I am prepared to stay on campus for anything up to several weeks. Please email me with proposals.
A business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives’ Global Network (EGN) Hong Kong, I wish to extend to you the opportunity of fielding a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support or that of your organization, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.
For background on EGN, please visit the following links -
Courtesies
I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. Please feel free to share any of my papers, articles, presentations, and TV interviews with your colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.
If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help. If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently.
Best personal regards,
Best personal regards,
Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com
International and Independent China Strategist
www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com
Positions
Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy)
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy)
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List
