In his March 2016 Paper for the Asian Working Group under the Order from Chaos Project - Foreign Policy in a Troubled World, Jeffrey Bader, a Brookings senior fellow affiliated with the John L. Thornton China Center, argues for a nuanced and balanced policy in managing China's rise.
According to a summary by Brookings -
"By examining China’s goals, what China is not doing, and its contributions to global prosperity, Jeffrey Bader outlines three broad policy options for the United States to respond to the China challenge:
- Accommodation;
- Containment, confrontation, or untrammeled strategic rivalry;
- Global cooperation, regional resolve.
Options 1 and 2 have their prominent advocates in the current policy literature, but each would jeopardize important U.S. interests—the former by putting at risk U.S. allies and values, the latter by demanding a greatly expanded U.S. military presence in the region without ensuring greater security. So what kind of actions should the United States take to achieve a balance between acceptance of a larger global role for a constructive China while drawing lines against coercion in China’s neighborhood? On global issues, a sensible option 3 approach should look for issues on which China, because of its own evolving interests, can and should play a greater role in supporting the global system. A few examples might include:
• Cybersecurity and cyber innovation;
• Protection of the rights of foreign investors;
• Adoption of the standards of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act;
• Central bank coordination, especially at times of global market instability;
• Fisheries treaties and conservation;
• Protection of intellectual property rights.
In addition, there are political, economic, and security measures the United States should adopt, globally and regionally, to protect its interests in the face of the Chinese challenge, including projecting clarity about our commitments to allies, defending principles and international norms in maritime areas, and restricting access to the U.S. market for companies that engage in cyber-theft. But there are opportunities as well for U.S.-China cooperation, such as along with South Korea in constraining the North Korean nuclear weapons program and with the Chinese-sponsored Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank on worthwhile projects."
While how US foreign policy towards China may play out will depend who will occupy the White House and changing global dynamics, Bader's analysis of what would best suit US national interests is likely to remain useful food for thought for the powers that be both in the United States and China.
