(My quarterly Newsletters go out to some 8,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my January 2025 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What is New on my website.)
Greetings! May I first wish you a Merry Christmas and a happy and fulfilled 2025!
With Donald Trump returning to the White House following a stunning election victory, bets across the world only a few months back are all up in the air. He has gained decisive control over America's key levers of power, including the House, the Senate, the Supreme Court, and throughout the Federal bureaucracy, becoming the most powerful US President not seen in decades.
Trump has vowed to end the Ukraine War "in one day". He has touted to impose massive tariffs on China and allies alike to turn the table on trade and jobs in America's favor. He has already lined up a formidable team of anti-China hawks, stroking worries about a potential clash with China, rattling global stability.
Having learnt the hard way from decades of American bipartisan anti-China hostility and from Trump's first term, Beijing has been much better prepared to deal with Trump 2.0 disruptions, banking on his penchant for the "Art of the Deal" to create a new golden era of American prosperity without wars as his history-defining legacy.
Meanwhile, much of Europe and the rest of the world has been making a serial beeline towards Beijing, probably to hedge their bets.
With Trumpian unpredictability, the coming four years will not be short of fireworks as well as smoke and mirrors. Hopefully, some of the following analyses may throw up helpful perspectives.
US-China relations
What does a second Trump presidency mean for the world? (Op-ed in China Daily)
China Beware: Trump Tariffs Are Coming (In-depth article in The Global Analyst)
How serious are Trump's tariff threats? (Pre-recorded English interview for Russian state media Izvestia for broadcast in Russian)
Trump’s return: How will US-China ties fare under new administration? (Article with Anadolu Agency, Turkey's state media)
The 5 major blind spots pushing the US into conflict with China (Op-ed in China Daily)
China's Most Ambitious Space Projects Are Making America Worried (YouTube podcast by Astrum, a space exploration channel)
What's behind China's sanctions on American drone makers? (Live exclusive TV interview on RT International)
World Order
How Geostrategic Dynamics are Coalescing Towards a Paradigm Shift in the Fractured World Order (Op-ed with Rome-based World Geostrategic Insights)
Ten Reasons Why 2024 Marks an Inflexion Point Upending the Global Order (A virtual PowerPoint presentation for the CESRAN 2024 Annual Conference in Venice). \
What does the BRICS Summit hosted by Russia signify? (Pre-recorded exclusive TV interview with Viory Video News Agency based in Abu Dhabi)
Ukraine Now Ready for Ceasefire! The Truth Finally EXPOSED! (A succinct expose by US-based YouTuber Cyrus Janssen with over 1 million fans.)
India
What impact does the coming Trump administration have on China and India? (Live TV panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18) China-India border-patrolling "breakthrough" ahead of the Moscow BRICS Summit (Live TV panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)
Data Centres
Geopolitics of Data Centres (An in-depth analysis plus a PowerPoint presentation)
China's economy
Reading the Tea Leaves of China’s Ailing Economy (Full-length feature article with The Global Analyst)
China's dominance of global EV supply chains (Pre-recorded English interview for Russian state media Izvestia for broadcast in Russian)
Middle East
Al-Assad’s fall in Syria: What’s at stake for China? (Aljazeera report with quotes)
Should Israel and the United States Attack Iran’s Nuclear Program Now? (A succinct analysis)
South Korea
South Korea in political turmoil (Exclusive live interview with Press TV)
Iran
Role of diplomacy in resolving world conflicts (Pre-recorded video interview for Iran's Young Journalists Club)
U.S Presential Election on Election Day - pre-recorded TV interview on Iranian state television Second interview (Exclusive interviews)
Belt and Road Initiative
Broader Total Quality Lessons for the Belt and Road Initiative (Published joint research paper)
Hong Kong
Hong Kong plays key role in national development (Exclusive in-depth interview with RTHK on whys and wherefores)
Hong Kong policy secretary reshuffle (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television HK)
2024 Chief Executive Policy Address: talent and youth affairs (Hong Kong Chief Executive's Policy Address)
Vibrant Hong Kong：Episode 66 ( Low Altitude Economy / Flute / Belgian Days / India by the Bay) (Special RTHK feature program)
香港一國兩制價值觀與1997年前比較 (多伦多粤语 YouTube 频道在线采访)
Cheer Up and Chill OutAl-Assad’s fall in Syria: What’s at stake for China?
A 10-point Multimedia Outlook on Life (Music video)
Inspirational videos and excerpts for life's down-moments
International investment opportunities
I am on the International Advisory Board of Silk Road Partners, an international investment firm. Mr Yves Leterme, ex-Prime Minister of Belgium (November 2009 to December 2011) has joined the firm as Senior Partner. If you are interested in getting in touch with us, please give me a shout.
Consultation services
Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987. I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at linkedin.com/in/andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung
Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.
RSS feed and weblinks
My posts are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What's New .A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.
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Courtesies
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Best personal regards,
Andrew K. P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Company Limited
Positions
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List
