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October 27, 2019

Andrew's November 2019 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my November 2019 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings! 

The freest city in the world, Hong Kong has paradoxically descended into anarchy and a crisis of confidence. Fake news and conspiracy theories abound. Geopolitics are out in the open. Tense US-China relations and Taiwan electioneering are using Hong Kong as a pawn. Its fluid, social media-driven tactics are inspiring protests from Catalonia to Chile. As I write, street violence continues. 
 
Twenty-two years after return to the motherland, Hong Kong has suddenly woken up to the contradictions of One Country Two Systems. Beneath a prosperous surface, identity and social divide are tearing the city apart, aided and abetted by politicians and ulterior forces. 
 
It will be a while before Beijing and Hong Kong emerge from this trauma. Meanwhile, the following may offer some perspectives. 
 
Hong Kong 
 
How to calm Hong Kong's protests (Op-ed in South China Morning Post)
The geopolitics of Hong Kong's protests (Article on World Geostrategic Insights) 
Why the Hong Kong protesters' remaining demands can't be met (Live TV interview on Aljazeera English Channel) 
Unpacking Hong Kong's protests (Live interview on Sky News TV) 
Can China tame Hong Kong?  (Recorded panel discussion on BBC World Service - The Real Story) 
Carrie Lam's Extradition Bill withdrawal - whys and wherefores (Live interview on Channel News Asia (CNA)) 
 
China at 70
 
Cross Talk: Communist China at 70 (Live TV panel debate on RT's Cross Talk)  
 
China & World Order
 
A new Asian Century looms? (In-depth analysis drawn from "The Future is Asian" and McKinsey Global Institute) 
 
Greater Bay Area
US-China Rivalry and trade war

US upped the ante with tariffs on China (Live interview with TRT World) 
State of The Play on US-China Competition - Center for Strategic and International Studies (An audio interview with Steve Hadley, former National Security Advisor) 
 
North Korea

 
China-India-Pakistan
 
 
My coming speaking engagement in Tangier, Morocco

As a Sponsored Speaker, I will be attending Amadeus Institute's 2019 MEDays Forum  in Tangier, Morocco from 13-16 November. I will be speaking on Towards a New Global Disorder and Commercials Wars & Energy Wars. My speaking notes will be uploaded on my website in due course. 

After the Forum, I will be staying in London until the early part of January, 2020. 

Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He has been based in Abu Dhabi working on private equity for the past two years. He has now returned to the financial services sector in London. His personal email address is [email protected]  

Consultation services

Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List  

Posted at 09:50 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Brexit, BRICS, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Denuclearization, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Lifestyle, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Regional development, Russia, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, Terrorism , Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

August 28, 2019

Andrew's September 2019 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my September 2019 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings! 

Hong Kong has had a long and fiery summer. Reminiscent of the "butterfly effect", triggered by a Taiwan murder case, an extradition bill intended to prevent Hong Kong from becoming a haven for criminal fugitives has led to socio-political conflagration. The bill's extension to cover extradition to Mainland China ignited a powder keg of pent-up frustrations. These include upward hopelessness of the younger generation, anger with One Country Two Systems increasingly tilting towards One Country, and the government's perceived haughty nonchalance. While the vast majority of protesters are peaceful, diehard militants, apparently aided and abetted by behind-the-scene politicians and other backers, are holding the city's law and order to ransom. 
 
Preceded by peaceful protests, the same real-time dramas of violent police-confrontation by black-clad, gas-masked militants unfold before a tired and worried city every weekend evening. Caches of high-explosives were uncovered. Petrol bombs, handy catapults and sharp metal objects are deployed. The police responds with tear gas, beanbag rounds, and arrests.  Hong Kong's parliament chamber was ransacked. The national emblem of Beijing's representative office was defaced. A hoisted national flag was thrown into the harbour. Police stations and staff quarters were attacked while police relatives and kids are targeted for harassment.  Hong Kong's international airport was obstructed to a halt. Slogans of "Liberate Hong Kong" and "Revolution of Our Times" appear in banners or sprayed on buildings.  Ten Hong Kong people were recently caught displaying these banners in Tibet. A sense of anarchy and ulterior motives prevails.
 
Meanwhile, protesters remain insistent on their "Five Demands": formal "withdrawal" of the now officially-abandoned and declared "dead" extradition bill, setting up an independent commission of enquiry to look into alleged police brutality, non-application of the crime of "Riot", freeing all arrested protesters, and universal suffrage unconstrained by Hong Kong's Basic Law. The government has refused to capitulate to these demands. 
 
Conspiracy rumours abound. References to a "color revolution" and a Hong Kong-styled "Tiananmen Square" are becoming more frequent. The People's Liberation Army in Hong Kong's garrison and across the border are on high alert. One Country Two Systems appears on the brink of being torn apart. 
 
As I write, the Hong Kong situation remains fluid. This is compounded by uncertain trade and geopolitical rivalry between China and the United States. The G7 has affirmed the validity of the UK-China Joint Declaration on One Country Two Systems, cautioning against violence on both sides. 
 
Amid the smoke and mirrors, the following may hopefully offer some fresh perspective. 
 
Hong Kong 
 
Is a lull in violence in Hong Kong's protests a turning point for the better or for worse? (Live TV interview with CNA (Channel News Asia, Singapore) 
Cathay Pacific high-level reshuffle and Hong Kong protests impact on economy  (Live interview with Talking Business on BBC World News) 
Mayhem in Hong Kong International Airport - what can the UK government do?  (Live interview with LBC (London Broadcasting Company) Radio)
Another phase of Hong Kong's protests (Live interview with TRT (Turkey))
What's behind Beijing's press briefing on Hong Kong (Live interviews with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) Radio) 
Now that Beijing has spoken, what next for the Hong Kong protests? (Live interviews with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) Radio and PressTV)
The Heat: Hong Kong protests with CGTN America, Washington D.C.  (Live TV panel discussion on CGTN America, Washington D.C.) 
What now, after Carrie Lam declared the extradition bill "dead"? (Live interview on ABC News Radio Sydney) 
The ins and outs of the storming of Hong Kong's Legislative Council (Live radio interview on BBC The World Tonight and live TV interview on The Brief, ANews TV Channel. Turkey) 
Real-time storming by protestors of the Hong Kong Legislative Council (Live TV interviews with BBC News and Sky News) 
Hong Kong extradition issue elevated to G20? (Live TV interview with CNA (Channel News Asia), Singapore) 
Hong Kong extradition bill suspended - what now? (Two live TV interviews on Aljazeera English Channel and a synopsis of the bill's background and broader implications) 
Hong Kong massive protest march against extradition bill (Live radio interview with BBC Newshour on 9 June)
 
Trade war
 
Has the US overplayed its hand on trade? (Op-ed in Project Syndicate) 
Why the US-China trade war broke down and what's behind it all? (2-part TV interview with Hong Kong International Business Channel)
Trump to China: Deal now or face far worse terms (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
Huawei - Technology War
 
 
China connects the world: Creation of a Sino-centric or more inclusive world order? (A PowerPoint presentation to British Business Association of Macao)
America Must Prepare for the Coming Chinese Empire (National Interest article of 17 June 2019 by Robert Kaplan) 
 
Belt and Road
 
 
North Korea
 
 
Military
 
US massive arms sale to Taiwan squares with One-China policy?  (Live TV interviews with RT and Press TV) 
Why US steps up weapon sales to Taiwan? Live interview with Press TV)
 
Kashmir, Hong Kong's status on T-shirts and Macao's future
 
China ‘can’t just stay out’ of Kashmir dispute, will play peacemaker (Commentary on RT Question More and Live TV interview on Indus News, Pakistan) 
India's sudden cancellation of Kashmir's special status (Live TV panel discussion on Indus News, Pakistan, and commentary on RT Question More) 
 
Economy and long-term trajectory

China: Learning from mistakes and deficiencies (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 
 
Sustainable Development
 
Financial Inclusion (Live panel discussion on Backchat, Radio Hong Kong) 
 
Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He has been based in Abu Dhabi working on private equity for the past two years. He has now returned to the financial services sector in London. His personal email address is [email protected]  

Consultation services

Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List

Posted at 08:45 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, BRICS, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, History, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Lifestyle, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Population, Regional development, Russia, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

August 17, 2019

Cathay Pacific high-level reshuffle and Hong Kong protests impact on economy

Live TV interview on Talking Business with BBC World News on 16 August, 2019.

Download BBCWorldLeung 

Posted at 12:23 AM in Asia, Banking, Brexit, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Currencies, Current Affairs, Democracy, Development_, Economics, Economy, Finance, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Investment , Politics, Television, Transport, UK, United States, Warfare, World | | Comments (0)

April 12, 2019

What the New Zealand slaughter, the Yellow Vests, hardcore Trump supporters and China’s Rise tell us about the world

PowerPoint presentation to the Hong Kong EGN Founding Chairmen's Group on 12 April, 2019. 

Download What the New Zealand slaughter the Yellow Vests hardcore Trump supporters and China’s Rise tell us about the world

Posted at 08:54 PM in Africa, Asia, Banking, Brexit, BRICS, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Emerging Economies, Energy, Ethics, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Politics, Population, Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Terrorism , United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

December 21, 2018

Andrew's January 2019 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 7,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my January 2019 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

May I first wish you a Merry Holiday Season and a marvellous New Year!

As we enter into 2019, the world order's tectonic plates are mightily shifting. Beginning with a trade war, the United States is now pushing back against China on multiple fronts. This is unprecedented since the end of the Mao era. The battle ground extends from next-generation mobile technology (5G), Uighurs human rights, access to Tibet, to a space arms race. The trade war seriously disrupts global production and value chains, hurting global growth, while the intense rivalry worries allies, forcing them to hedge their bets. 
 
Meanwhile, Yellow Vests and other similar citizen protests burn like sporadic wild fires, part of an inward-looking, anti-globalization, anti--elite, populist groundswell. We are at the historical juncture where the world's richest 10 multi-billionaires have a combined wealth more than the poorest half of the whole world put together. There is a prevailing sense of haplessness and gross injustice. Piketty's warning in Capitalism in the 21st Century seems to be vindicated. 
 
On a broader front, embroiled in national crises of one form or another, many countries seem less focussed on how the earth is heating up faster than expected, due to renewed jumps in carbon emissions. The twist in the tale is that while the United States has ditched the hard-won Paris Agreement on Climate Change, China, the world's worst polluter for decades, seems to be leading the world in upholding the Agreement by exceeding  declared targets. 
 
Hopefully, the following may offer you enjoyable holiday-season browsing with some fresh insight or perspective.
 
The Huawei saga
Why is China's biggest technology company being targeted? (TV panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera) 
Beijing's reaction to arrest in Canada of Huawei's CFO (Live interview with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) 
 
US-China trade war and geopolitical rivalry
US moderate rhetoric helped Asian markets rebound (Live interview with Press TV) 
The Trade War and Sino-US relations (Radio Hong Kong "Backchat")
China-US Trade Relation and Challenges: Past, Present, Future and Policy Options ( A Center for China and Globalization (CCG) analysis) 
IMF urges US, China to de-escalate tensions (Live interview with Press TV) 
US-China conflict portends reset of world order (Live radio interview with Radio Sputnik of Moscow) 
Is China losing a new Cold War? (An in-depth analysis)
Cooperation, not war, is key to mutual prosperity (A re-print of my article in the International Institute of Management (IIM) Journal 2018-19)
Trump's foreign policy is all branding (An opinion from World Politics Review, a New York-based bipartisan publication)
US-China trade war may affect Azerbaijan (A perspective in an Azerbaijan journal)  
 
China's Rise
 
Technology 
 
G20 and Regional Summits
Why APEC meeting failed to reach consensus? (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
Belt and Road  
Belt and Road is alive and kicking (A Standard Chartered Bank report) 
 
 
South China Sea
 
Hong Kong
Hong Kong rejects visa of British journalist (Exclusive radio interview on BBC World Service News Hour)
 
Appointments for promoting education for Sustainable Development 
 
I have accepted appointments as a Professor of Practice with the Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development and as a Certified Sustainable Development Planner (CSDP) of the World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners. Both are affiliated to the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). I have done so in the hope of raising awareness of sustainable development in Mainland China, especially in less-developed areas, and in countries along China's Belt and Road Initiative. The former as a catalyst for building smart cities and communities and the latter to underpin infrastructural building, economic diversification, and ecological conservation where debt and ecological sustainability is becoming an issue. 
 
For my papers, presentations, analysis, commentaries, interviews etc on related aspects, please access my website under Publications, CHINAwatch and What is New. On the right hand column, scroll all the way down "Recent Posts" to find "Categories". Then click on "Sustainability" or "Sustainable Development". All my past postings on the subject will come up aggregated. 
 
Cheer up and chill out

Casablanca reverie - a music video (A nostalgic visit to Casablanca following the 2018 MEDays Forum)

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words, There is also a collection in Chinese.

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He has been based in Abu Dhabi working on private equity for the past two years. He is about to return to the financial services sector in London. His personal email address is [email protected]

Consultation services

Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20) 

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Download 中國香港國際經貿合作協會簡介和組織架構  

Download A brief introduction to the China-Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List   

Posted at 03:38 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Cities, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, Ethics, EU, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Music, North Korea, Philosophy, Regional development, Religion, Russia, Science, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Travel, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

January 04, 2018

Andrew's January 2018 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 7,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is the January 2018 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website.) 

Greetings! May I first wish you a marvellous 2018!  

The year ahead is at a foggy crossroads. Would an iconoclastic, transactional, "America First" President Trump fortuitously cede global power and influence to Presidents Xi and Putin? Would intensifying geopolitical rivalry lead to regional, if not global, war, with or without a nuclear-tipped and defiant Chairman Kim and revisionist Prime Minister Abe?

What is behind President Xi's "New Era Socialism with Chinese Characteristics"? What has become of his supply-side structural reform? How would he resolve China's debt and deleveraging problems? How successful is China becoming an innovative global digital powerhouse?

What challenges and opportunities are emerging from China's global footprint through its Belt and Road Initiative and its ubiquitous presence in a new Africa transformed by urbanisation, digitisation and a rising civil society? 

All these signal probable paradigm shifts. It is increasingly difficult to have a firm grasp of the dynamics to stay ahead of the game. To help see through the smoke and mirrors, the following may hopefully offer a little perspective.

Geopolitics

China, Russia and the United States in a new era of East-West strategic rivalry and competition (Implications of the latest US National Security Strategy)

How US pressure may help turn China-Russia strategic ties into alliance (Quoted on RT Online) 

Japan to fit out a new aircraft carrier against North Korea and China threats (Exclusive live TV interview on RT) 

Avoiding War - Containment, Competition, and Cooperation in US-China Relations (An analysis of US-China rivalry including the South China Sea) 

Imagine World War III between US and China (An analysis of US-China hard-power geopolitics) 

Withdrawing From Overseas Bases - Why a Forward-Deployed Military Posture Is Unnecessary, Outdated, and Dangerous (A Cato Institute paper) 

Trump the trouble-shooter - rhetoric and reality (Exclusive live interview on RT) 

US accuses China's Xinhua News Agency of espionage (Live TV interview on RT) 

How Trump's forthcoming visit to China can help forge a better world order (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post of 25 September)

North Korea

North Korea's latest nuclear and ICBM tests - what is to be done? (Exclusive live TV interview on RT) 

North Korea threatens to shoot down US war planes - What does North Korea want? (Exclusive live TV interview on RT) 

How to diffuse the North Korean crisis (An in-depth analysis and a blog post of the Amadeus Institute, a leading Middle East and African think tank)

China's outlook

China 2018 – What it means for the global economy? (An analytical tour d'horizon of global risks and opportunities) 

New Era Socialism with Chinese Characteristics - What does it mean? (Exclusive live TV interview on TRT in Izmir, Turkey) 

The Critical Transition: China's Priorities for 2021 (A Chatham House report) 

S & P downgrade and China's supply-side structural reform (An in-depth analysis)

Belt & Road Initiative

China's Belt and Road Initiative: Opportunities for the Aegean Region (PowerPoint presentation at the Aegean Economic Forum, Izmir, Turkey) 

Between the Lines: China's Belt and Road Initiative (TV panel discussion on Singapore's Channel News Asia) 

Arctic link reveals the full scope of China’s belt and road ambitions  (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) 

China business

Digital China: Powering the economy to global competitiveness (A McKinsey Global Institute report) 

China opens financial sector to more foreign ownership (Research note of BBVA, a Spanish bank) 

Ruble-yuan trade between Russia & China makes dollar odd man out (Quoted on RT Business News) 

China Business - Landscape and Strategies ( A 2018 Routledge book by Dr Hong Liu (Second Edition) (My endorsement on the back cover) 

Technology 2018

What is Hot in Technology Trends 2018 (A report from Global Futures and Foresight)

China in Africa

China should rise to the challenge of a new Africa (Feature article in The Global Analyst, an international business magazine in India)

Lions on the Move: Africa - a continent of challenges and opportunities (An in-depth analysis of an emerging New Africa) 

MEDays Forum 2017 - Tangier, Morocco (A 4-day international forum where I spoke separately on Africa and North Korea)

Saudi Arabia

Understanding Mohammed bin Salman’s Saudi Arabia: History Or Tragedy In The Making? (Insight by Professor Raj Bhal) 

India

India's Gujarat state election a test of Modi's sustained momentum (Live TV appearance on India's WION) 

Hong Kong

Former Govrnor Chris Patten's visit to Hong Kong (Back chat on Radio Hong Kong) 

Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words, There is also a collection in Chinese. 

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. Please limit details to a one-page PDF document, including key financial data, photo images, contact phone numbers and email addresses. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He now works on private equity with the Marya Group. His personal email address is [email protected]

Consultation services

Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987. I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

Please email any invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www. andrewleunginternationalconsul tants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices. 

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You are welcome to share any of my papers, articles, presentations, and TV interviews with your colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www. andrewleunginternationalconsul tants.com  

Positions

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited \
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts,USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member 
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet  Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM)
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List

Posted at 01:44 AM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, BRICS, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Cities, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Europe, Executive education and training, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Manufacturing , Middle Class, North Korea, Population, Regional development, Russia, Science, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

September 19, 2017

Andrew's mid-September 2017 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletters go out to some 6,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is the mid-September issue. Back issues may be accessed under What's New on this website.) 

Greetings! 

The world is changing at a rapid pace. There are many question marks. What is the shape of President Xi's new team at the coming 19th Party Congress? Will US-China relations change for better or worse? How will China's relations with India and the EU evolve?  Will North Korea keep on being the wild card? What is to become of the Chinese economy? What is Hong Kong's future? The following may give you fresh perspectives.
 
China - Overview
 
China under President Xi Jinping (Part one of a four-part proprietary PowerPoint presentation)
How China connects the world (Part two of a four-part proprietary PowerPoint presentation)
China's Future Mega Projects (2016-2050) (A Trade Development Council video) 
A video compendium of China's history from early civilization to end of imperial dynasties (CCTV 100-video series)
 
China Economy and Business

China: Early fruits of corporate deleveraging add to growth resilience (A BBVA Research Note) 
China's Investment Landscape: Finding New Opportunities (A China Briefing report)
Making sense of Chinese outbound M & A (A McKinsey article) 
China sees biggest wave of overseas returnees (A report of Center for China and Globalization) 
Chinese luxury market trends 2017 (Synthesis of EIU, Mckinsey, Bain, Deloitte, and other reports) 
A new era of China global influence - media and films, droves, electric cars and the "i-can" generation (Various research sources) 
Emerging Market 7 (EM7) drives global growth twice as much as G7 (Brookings Institution article) 
 
US-China relations
 
How Trump may accelerate change of the world order (Part three of a four-part proprietary PowerPoint presentation)
Destined for war? China, America and the Thucydides trap (Book review) 
Substantial 100 Day-gains avert US-China trade war for time being (A Ming Pao Daily editorial) 
Trade war between China and US would inflict damage to a lot of countries (Interview with Radio Sputnik) 
Is Trump starting a trade war with China in the midst of the North Korean crisis? (Interview with Radio Sputnik) 
 
North Korea
 
What North Korea wants - a "grand bargain"  (Live TV interview on RT and video of Kevin Rudd's address to Swedish Institute of International Affairs) 
North Korean "hydrogen bomb" test demands thinking outside the box (Live TV interview on RT) 
North Korea launches missile over Japan (Live TV interview on RT)
US and South Korea hold military drills amid threats from Pyongyang (Live TV interview on RT) 
"Talk is over" over North Korea? - How the crisis can be diffused  (Live TV interview on RT and various research sources)
 
EU-China relations
 
EU–China Economic Relations to 2025: Building a Common Future (A Joint Report by Bruegel, Chatham House, China Center for International Economic Exchanges and Chinese University of Hong Kong) 
 
China/India
 
Is Japan's investment in India making China worried?  (Live TV interview on WION, New Delhi) 
India-China Stand-Off and North Korea Crisis Impact on OBOR (PowerPoint presentation) 
India, China "expeditious disengagement" deal over Doklam (Live TV interview on WION, New Delhi) 
China mocks India with a racist video over Doklam standoff  (Live TV interview on RT and various research sources)
 
Central Asia

5-S Governance recipe for sustainable development in Central Asia (Paper published by Foreign Policy Research Center, New Delhi) 
 
Cyber Warfare
 
Beijing’s Views on Norms in Cyberspace and Cyber Warfare Strategy (A US Center for International Maritime Security analysis) 
 
Environment 
 
"Parched - Global Water Wars" - A National Geographic documentary now dubbed by RTHK in Cantonese (Video) 
Home - a film by Yann Arthus-Bertrand on ecology and sustainable development (Full-length film and videos) 
 
Hong Kong
 
Hong Kong must guard "One Country" for the sake of "Two Systems" (My Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)
How a delicate balance under One Country, Two Systems may guarantee its attractiveness beyond 2047 (My Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)
"Hong Kong's Political Prisoners" - The Wall Street Journal (A critique) 
Hong Kong: The Future (Part four of a four-part proprietary PowerPoint presentation)

Coming oversea engagements
 
I will be speaking at the Aegean Economic Forum at Izmir, Turkey 25-26 October and the Amadeus Institute International MEDays Forum in Tangier, Morocco, from 8-11 November. Thereafter, I will be based in London before returning to Hong Kong on 5 December. 
 
Cheer up and chill out
 
A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words, There is also a collection in Chinese. 
 
Cross-border M & A propositions
 
You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. Please limit details to a one-page PDF document, including key financial data, photo images, contact phone numbers and email addresses. 
 
Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He now works on private equity with Abu Dhabi's Marya Group. His personal email address is [email protected] 
 
Consultation services
 
Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung
 
Speaking and lecturing invitations
 
Please email any invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 
 
Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
 
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.
 
RSS feed and weblinks
 
My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternat ionalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.
 
Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.
 
This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices. 
 
Courtesies
 
I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You are welcome to share any of my papers, articles, presentations, and TV interviews with your colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.
 
If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently.
 
Best personal regards,
 
Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com
 
Positions
 
Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Download 中國香港國際經貿合作協會簡介和組織架構  
Download A brief introduction to the China-Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts,USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member 
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)

Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

Posted at 12:29 AM in Asia, Banking, Books, Brexit, BRICS, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Cities, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Executive education and training, Film, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, History, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Regional development, Russia, Sustainable Development, Technology, Television, United States, Urbanization, World | | Comments (0)

September 15, 2017

EU–China Economic Relations to 2025: Building a Common Future

A Joint Report of September 2017 by Bruegel, Chatham House, China Center for International Economic Exchanges and The Chinese University of Hong Kong, suggests the following measures to strengthen EU-China ties -

  1. Conclude an investment agreement as soon as possible;
  2. Open negotiations on establishing an EU–China free trade agreement (FTA)
  3. Use China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as a platform for further expanding bilateral trade and economic cooperation
  4. Deepen EU–China cooperation on energy security and climate change
  5. Focus on the opportunities offered by new breakthroughs in science, technology and innovation (STI)
  6. Support further EU–China cooperation in the financial sector
  7. Contribute to strengthening mechanisms of good global governance

Download EU-China Economic Relations to 2025

Posted at 08:31 PM in Banking, Brexit, China Business, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Energy, EU, Europe, Finance, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Manufacturing , Middle Class, Military, Politics, Regional development, Russia, Science, South China Sea, Sustainable Development, Technology, Terrorism , Transport, Turkey, UK, Urbanization, World | | Comments (0)

July 12, 2017

Andrew's July 2017 Newsletter

Greetings! Let me first wish you an enjoyable and rewarding summer. 
 
While uncertainties remain around the globe, a less murky picture begins to emerge. Trump holds fast to his unpredictable persona and his transactional "America First" unilateralism, calling into question the United States' post-war leadership in the global commons. With a fractured Europe remaining to be healed and a Middle East mired in factional rivalries, China's growing international influence is increasingly sought after, lack of capacity and reluctance to step into America's shoes notwithstanding. This begs the question how the world order will be modified and how relations with Beijing should be managed, including, perhaps, future prospects for Hong Kong's One Country, Two Systems.  
 
For your summer reading, may I offer the following perspectives - 
 
Hong Kong
 
How a delicate balance under One Country, Two Systems may guarantee its attractiveness beyond 2047 (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) 
HKSAR's 20th Anniversary - Has One Country Two Systems worked? (A Sky News live interview) 
Hong Kong SAR's 20th Anniversary - how to better connect Hong Kong's young generation (A TV panel discussion on The Point with Beijing's CGTN (re-styled from CCTV) 
Economic Cooperation in the Greater Bay Area  (Back Chat show with Radio Hong Kong) 
 
China business
 
A new era of China global influence - internet media and films, droves and electric car batteries (An in-depth analysis) 
China’s New FTZ Negative List Removes Restrictions on Foreign Investment (A China Briefing report) 
Digital China - The Middle Kingdom of Cyber Space?  (An analysis of the growing power of China's internet economy) 
A Profitable Partnership Under Stress: Why it makes sense to ratchet-down US-China trade tensions (A Hindrich Foundation report) 
Internet Economics Models, Mechanisms and Management (An e-book with my Forward on page 1) 
China Business - Landscape and Strategies - A 2017 Routledge Book by Dr Hong Liu (Second Edition) (A holistic introduction to China business with my endorsement on the back cover). 
 
New era of paradigm shifts
 
The global forces inspiring a new narrative of progress (A McKinsey Quarterly analysis) 
 
Military and security
 
China starts to build its military-industrial complex and is launching an "unhackable" quantum network (A commentary on the latest development)
Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China  (2017 US Annual Report to Congress) 
Japanese Defense Minister asks U.S. troops not to conduct drills (Live TV interview with RT) 
Tensions rise as third missile tests in a month conducted by North Korea (Live TV interview with RT) 
UAE promotes strategy to counter cyber terrorism (Snapshots of a Conference in Abu Dhabi) 
 
International relations
 
All Measures Short of War: The contest for the 21st century and the future of American power (A Brookings Institution discussion on a new book by Thomas Wright) 
Indo-China Relation: Border standoff, what’s the way forward? (Live TV debate on India's NDTV program "The Big Fight")
Can India break the China-Pakistan axis? (Live TV debate on "The Big Fight") 
Panama cuts ties with Taipei in favor of China (Live interview with Radio Sputnik, Moscow) 
By defining his goals more narrowly than previous presidents, Trump may halt Pyongyang's weapons program (An insight from Eric X Li) 
THAAD may exacerbate rather than solve the North Korean problem (Live TV interview with RT) 
The Korean Nuclear Issue: Past, Present and Future - A Chinese Perspective (An analysis by Madam Fu Ying, chairperson of China's Foreign Affairs Committee of the National People’s Congress) 
 
Sustainable development
 
China’s belt and road can lead the world to a greener future (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) 
Governance recipe for sustainable development in Central Asia with One Belt, One Road (Paper and PowerPoint presentation for conferences in Cambridge University and Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, China )   
Water security threats demand new collaborations: Lessons from the Mekong River Basin (An Economist Intelligence Unit report) 
 
Financial reform           
 
Beijing doubles down on financial reforms as domestic and external situations ease (An analysis of the mixed outcome)
 
Cheer up and chill out
 
A reportoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words, There is also a collection in Chinese.
 
Cross-border M & A propositions
 
You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. Please limit details to a one-page PDF document, including key financial data, photo images, contact phone numbers and email addresses. 
 
Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He now works on private equity with Abu Dhabi's Marya Group. His personal email address is [email protected] 
 
Consultation services
 
Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung
 
Speaking and lecturing invitations
 
Please email any invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 
 
Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
 
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Global Executive Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.
 
RSS feed and weblinks
 
My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternat ionalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links. Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge. This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices. 
 
Courtesies
 
I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You are welcome to share any of my papers, articles, presentations, and TV interviews with your colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.
 
If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently.
 
Best personal regards,
 
Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com
 
Positions
 
Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Download 中國香港國際經貿合作協會簡介和組織架構  
Download A brief introduction to the China-Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts,USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member 
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)

Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List  

Posted at 11:35 PM in Asia, Banking, Books, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, Ethics, EU, Europe, Executive education and training, Film, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Manufacturing , Middle Class, North Korea, Philosophy, Population, Regional development, Religion, Science, Sports, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, Travel, United States, Urbanization, Weblogs, World | | Comments (0)

June 09, 2017

All Measures Short of War: The contest for the 21st century and the future of American power

The Brookings Institution, Washington D.C., hosted an introduction and panel discussion on 5 June, 2017 on a forthcoming book with the above title by Thomas Wright, Director of the Institution's Center on the United States and Europe and Fellow with the Project on International Order and Strategy.  The panel was moderated by Susan Glasser, Chief International Affairs Columnist with Politico, with the book's author, Gérard Araud, Ambassador of France to the United States, and Robert Kagan, Senior Fellow with the Project on International Order and Strategy at the Brookings Institution. 

After two decades of convergence with unprecedented cooperation between the major nations, great power competition has returned to a new era of strategic competition with revisionist powers of China and Russia more capable of challenging the US-dominated world order since the end of the Second World War. Wright argues that the great powers all seek to avoid a major war with each other but will compete will all measures short of war, including globalized interdependence, cyber war, economic war, proxy war, and coercive diplomacy. He proposes a new American strategy—responsible competition—for navigating these challenges and strengthening the liberal order.

Major challenge to the liberal order, however, springs as much from revisionist competition as America's own growing unwillingness to shoulder global responsibilities except on narrower, more transactional, zero-sum calculations. Even with "responsible competition", the question remains whether the balance of global power will shift towards one where China, Russia, India and other emerging powers will carry much more weight and whether, and to what extent, the hitherto West-centric world order will stay unmodified. 

Posted at 04:29 PM in Asia, Brexit, BRICS, China's Rise, Climate Change , Current Affairs, Defense, Development_, Emerging Economies, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, India, Japan, Latin America, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, Southeast Asia, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Terrorism , Turkey, UK, United States, Warfare, World | | Comments (0)

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