What's New: Central America

May 17, 2025

Implication of China-Latin America Forum in Beijing

Live radio interview on BackChat, Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK) on 16 May 2025

Posted at 12:20 AM in Asia, Banking, BRICS, Business promotion, Central America, China Business, China's Rise, Climate Change , Current Affairs, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Latin America, Macao, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Politics, Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Sustainable Development, Technology, United States, Urbanization, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

April 30, 2025

President Trump's Grand Strategy - Will it Succeed

A PowerPoint presentation at a Hong Kong EGN Group meeting of 30 April, 2025.
Download President Trump's Grand Strategy - Will it Succeed

Posted at 10:29 PM in Africa, Asia, Banking, BRICS, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, India, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Latin America, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Politics, Regional development, Russia, Science, South China Sea, Southeast Asia, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Transport, Turkey, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, Warfare, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

April 30, 2024

Where Global Governance Went Wrong—and How to Fix It

Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate in economics and a professor at Columbia University, wrote the above think-piece in Foreign Policy on 28 April.

Echoing his earlier seminal works Globalization and Its Discontents (2003) and Making Globalization Work (2007), Stiglitz laments the worsening breakdown of equitable governance, both nationally and globally.

Much-touted neo-liberalism has not succeeded to lift all boats within most nations and globally. Unbridled "free economy" often serves to give "total liberty to the wolves and death to the lambs".

He cites examples including the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the Covid "vaccine apartheid" prizing Big Pharma fortunes over millions of lives in poor countries, and massive subsidies to enterprises under the "CHIPS and Science Act", begging questions of "free market" double standards.

Globally, the Global South is being marginalized for lack of a fair "world government" enforcing the so-called "rule-based world order", reminiscent of famed Greek philosopher Thucydides' quote "The strong do what they can. The weak suffer what they must."

To win hearts and minds in a "new Cold War" agaisnt China, Stiglitz suggests that the United States should "abandon the corporate-driven rules-based system and work instead to create a set of at least basic rules that would reflect common interests."

The "corporate-driven system" is shorthand for the deeply-entrenched "military-industrial-financial-techological-media"complex that has long taken root since former US President Eisehower's parting shot in1961. See New Yorker famed investigative journalist and author Jane Mayer's bestseller Dark Mioney (2017). The hard-wired elite "corporate-driven" DNA is unlikely to change anytime soon.

Unless the United States and other countries start to embrace a more equitable "alternative world order" including reform of the United Nations Security Council, the law of the jungle in geopolitics, albeit subtly nuanced or camouflaged, is likely to continue, at a time when America can no long call all the shots.

Posted at 03:51 PM in Afghanistan, Africa, Asia, BRICS, Central America, China's Rise, Climate Change , Covid-19, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Denuclearization, Development_, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, Ethics, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, India, Innovation, Japan, Latin America, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Public health , Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, Southeast Asia, Sustainable Development, Technology, Turkey, United States, Vietnam, Warfare, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

January 29, 2024

Megatrends To 2050: Geopolitical Fragmentation To Accelerate, Raising Global Risks

Megatrends to 2050 is a forecast, Global Country Risks, dated 20 June 2023 by BMI, a FitchSolutions Company.

The following are some salient excerpts -

(a) The world order will become increasingly multipolar over the coming three decades, as geopolitical influence disperses away from the US and emerging economies seek to increase their power in tandem with their economic and demographic weigh.

(b) Our GDP forecasts for 2050 envisage China and the US being by far the biggest economies with nominal GDPs of USD52.5trn and USD42.9trn respectively, far ahead of third-ranked India (USD16.3trn).

(c) Despite a probable shift towards geopolitical ‘bifurcation’ in the northern hemisphere, we see scope for an additional bloc or loose grouping centred around the ‘Global South’, with India, Indonesia, South Africa, Nigeria and Brazil becoming increasingly prominent on the world stage.

(d) A substantial increase in great power tensions would accelerate the fragmentation of the international system, as each great power would seek to build their own, largely exclusive, sphere of influence and economic linkages between rival powers would rapidly be unwound.

(e) Geopolitical considerations will increasingly supersede economic ones for governments and businesses in the post-Covid, post-Ukraine war international system.

(f) As the world becomes more multipolar, and as more economies acquire greater influence, the risk of major power conflict will increase.

(g) We believe that any hypothetical conflict between the US and China could be a defining moment for the international system. At the same time, we emphasise that great power conflict is by no means inevitable

(h) Against this backdrop, we also anticipate that more markets will acquire nuclear weapons, or at least the ability to develop them at short notice.

(i) The world order will also become more fluid over the coming decade or two, as a certain degree of ‘tactical’ shifting may take place by medium-sized markets seeking to maximise their ‘independence’

(j) For the foreseeable future, more markets will be at risk of becoming subsumed in ‘proxy’ conflicts between the major powers.

(k) We anticipate that multiple markets around the world, especially larger ones, will experience greater decentralisation pressures over the coming decades. In some cases, decentralisation will be a precursor to formal separatism, especially where separate cultural identities are the main drivers of autonomism.

(l) The EU is also analogous to some of these markets, and we anticipate continued tensions there between those that favour greater centralisation under Brussels and those that favour greater devolution of power back to nation states. These dynamics could be tested again if the continent experiences a similar crisis to that in the eurozone in 2010-2012.

(m) We believe that Russia is one of the most likely to experience greater autonomist or separatist pressures, as a long-term consequence of the war in Ukraine. Anecdotal reports suggest that Russia’s ethnic minorities have experienced disproportionately high casualties in the war, which may increase their sense of resentment towards Moscow. We also anticipate that Russia will emerge from the conflict substantially weaker militarily and economically poorer. This suggests that Moscow will have reduced ability to subsidise or militarily suppress potentially rebellious regions.

(n) We anticipate that urbanisation will continue in Emerging Markets, with the UN forecasting that the world’s urban population will rise from 55% of the global total in 2018 to 68% by 2050, with the bulk of this increase taking place in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. With more people living in cities, social unrest and conflicts could lead to urban warfare. However, urbanisation is not necessarily irreversible.

(o) Despite the fact that globalisation has reached a plateau, we believe that inter-connectedness between cities spanning different markets and continents will be a key factor upholding some form of globalism.

(p) Some "known unkowns" -

Considerable question marks surround Russia’s ability to remain a major world power.
It is unclear if the Communist Party of China (CPC) can continue to hold a monopoly of power in Mainland China all the way out to 2050.
The EU could itself face centrifugal tendencies as a result of rising nationalism, which could be exacerbated by another financial crisis.
The US has become increasingly polarised, raising the possibility that it, too, could face internal upheaval that could force it to turn even more inward.

The above are by no means iconoclastic, mostly following current happenings. However, these predictions are dated June 2023, before the tide turned over the Ukraine War and the new Israel-Hamas crisis.

With the US and EU running short on financial, ammuntion, and political support for Ukraine, Russia remains resilient and may finally settle for a Ukraine deal in its favour, particularly in the event of Trump's return to the White House. This would tilt the global geopolitical balance against the Western camp.

At the same time, across the Middle East, the wider Global South, and various Western countries, the Gaza war is increasingly challenging the legitimacy of Israel's disproportionate reprisals and America's continuing support, regardless of Houhti's attack on selected civilian shipping in the Red Sea. In the circumstances, China and Russia are likely to benefit geopolitically as a result. How the Israel-Hamas War Is Tilting the Global Power Balance in Favor of Russia, China.

The predictions do not seem to take sufficient account of China's deeply-imbedded centrality in the global supply and value chain, US-led de-coupling or de-risking notwithstanding. By 2018, China has become a bigger trading partner for 128 of 190 countries than the US, according to the Lowy Institute. Seven of the world's top ten busiest container ports are in China (including Hong Kong). China is also the world’s largest manufacturer. Most of the world's consumer products, whether marked "Made in China" have incorporated China's inputs in terms of minerals and other materials, technical components, assembly or logistics.This centrality is likley to gain further momentum with the world's largest trading bloc, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnerswhip (RCEP) comprising ASEAN and its main trading partners including China, accounting for a third of global GDP and a third of the world's population. Additionally, China's ubiquitous Belt and Road Initiative, linking the world with overland and maritime infrastructure, has now been rejigged to become more indebtedness-and-ecology sensitive, as well as more open and inclusive of local stakeholders.

Neither have the predictions taken enough account of China's lead in 37 out of 44 cutting-edge technologies, according to ASPI's March 2023 Critical Techoilogy Tracker). These include certain sectors in Artificial Intelligence, quantum computing and Internet of Things (IoT) which are defining how people live, how businesses are conducted, and how national powers are measured in the 21st century. This lead is likely to endure, thanks to China's vast technological manpower pool. By 2025 Chinese universities will be producing more than 77,000 STEM PhDs per year compared to approximately 40,000 in the United States. Excluding international students, Chinese STEM PhD graduates would outnumber their U.S. counterparts more than three-to-one, according to George Town University's CSET (Center for Security and Emerging Technology).

China's current gloal gravitas is reflected in an analysis Which country has the most influence in the world? dated 29 January 2024 by the Red Team Analysis Society, a global geopolitical consultancy and think tank.

Last but not least, the predictions show insufficient recognition that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has been evolving and become very adaptive in recent decades. Under its tutelage, the lives of 1.4 billion Chinese people have been dramatically transformed. Globally, it has become one of the governments most trusted and supported by its people, muliple ranks above many Western democracies including the United States, according to recent research conducted by the Harvard Kennedy School, 2023 Edelman Trust Barometer, and IPSOS Global Happiness 2023 Report. Current demographic, economic, and geopolitical headwinds notwithstanding, it is still too soon to conclude that China will never overtake the United States as the largest economy.

Posted at 08:13 PM in Africa, Asia, Banking, BRICS, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Cities, Climate Change , Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Denuclearization, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, Ethics, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, United States, Urbanization, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

April 15, 2023

The Beginning of the End of Dollar Supremacy and the Looming Financial Turmoil

A presentation to the EGN (Executive Global Network) Founding Chairmen Group Hong Kong on 14 April 2023.

Download The Beginning of the End of Dollar Supremacy (PDF)

Posted at 12:28 AM in Africa, Asia, Banking, Brexit, BRICS, Business promotion, Central America, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, City Profile, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Development_, Dollar, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, History, India, Investment , Latin America, Middle East, Politics, Russia, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Technology, Turkey, UK, Ukraine , United States, Warfare, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

March 26, 2023

Andrew's April 2023 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletters go out to some 8,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my April 2023 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What is New on my website.)

Greetings!

From Europe to the Middle East, the world's geopolitical tectonic plates are shifting fast. Uncertain outcomes are confronting the Great Powers. America and its European allies remain united against a revanchist Russia. However, they appear anxious, if not paranoiac, about a rapidly rising, and sure-footed China, suddenly emerging from three years of pandemic lockdown to demonstrate its growing global gravitas. Meanwhile, a prolonged continental-scale proxy war over Ukraine has resulted in persistent inflation, repeated interest-rate hikes, social unrest, and an apparently contagious banking crisis.

Much of the West's mishaps and misguided actions reflects an unspoken denial. Unable to call all the shots, the West's absolute dominance over the world order no longer endures. While the art of peaceful, inclusive co-existence (or "harmony despite differences" according to ancient Chinese philosophy), has yet to be learnt, the world is becoming a more dangerous place. The supply of "depleted uranium shells" to Ukraine may risk bating a heavily-nuclear-armed Russia in a downward spiral towards nuclear Armageddon.

The following may offer fresh perspectives on some of the world's most critical flashpoints.

Xi-Putin Meet - Ukraine War
Deciphering the Xi-Putin meeting in Moscow (Exclusive live TV interview with RT)
Xi Jinping's Russia Visit: Official talks between Putin and Jinping held on March 21 (Live TV interview with WION TV of India)

Macron has urged Beijing to pressure Russia to end the war (Live exclusive interview on WION TV of India)

Two Sessions - National development
Eleven ways the two sessions will safeguard advancement of China 3.0 (Op-ed in China Daily) Republished by Rome-based World Geostrategic Insight in French, Spanish, Russian, and Arabic.
What were the key takeaways from China’s National Congress session? (Live exclusive TV interview on TRT World, based in Istanbul)

How country is overcoming demographic challenges (Op-ed in China Daily)
China a sunny spot amid global dark clouds (Op-ed in China Daily)
The Great Tech Rivalry - China v the US (A YouTube podcast of Harvard Kennedy School findings)
Economics of the Two Sessions in Beijing (Backchat on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong)
"After coming to live in China, I have loved it here" American digital entrepreneur Cyrus Janssen (TED Talk on YouTube)

"Most of what the Western media says about China is wrong" (A YouTube blog by retired Australian social-media commentator based in Zhongshan)

Minning Town - China's new popular TV series dubbed in English and Arabic (An overview)
"China has made considerable progress under Xi Jinping’s leadership" (Live interview with Press TV)
China will survive a pandemonium of surging infections to vindicate its “dynamic-zero” Covid strategy (By-invitation feature article in India's Mero Tribune)

Middle East

John Lee's Middle East trip rife with potential (Op-ed in China Daily)
Tehran is seeking to join the BRICS group of nations and China supports the bid (Exclusive live interview with Press TV)

Implications of Iran President Ebrahim Raisi's visit to Beijing (Exclusive live interview with Press TV)

US-China relations
Does US-hegemonic decline translate into a fight between “democracy” and “autocracy” in maintaining a benign world order? (Op-ed in Rome-based World Geostrategic Insights. Republished in French, Spanish , Russian, and Arabic
China's "global ambitions" according to two prominent Western sinologists (An In-depth analysis)

Is it too late for the US to contain China? (Aljazeera English TV interview with Kishore Mahbubani)
"China's Growth Is Seen As Threat To US' Hegemony” China Strategist (Live TV panel discussion on NDTV of India)

The Reckoning That Wasn’t : Why America Remains Trapped by False Dreams of Hegemony (An in-depth analysis)

“US trying to derail China as emerging rival” (Live interview with Press TV)

The Chinese Balloon Saga
'Balloon incident may not bode well for Biden, Xi' (Commentary quoted in article featured on Turkey's independent Anadolu Agency)

Chinese balloon over American homeland an unfortunate incident interrupting fence-mending efforts (Live exclusive TV interview with NDTV of India)
A straying Chinese balloon over Montana blows US-China talks off course, for now (Live TV interview with RT)

Australia and New Zealand
Australia to buy nuclear-powered submarines from US - implications (Live exclusive interview with RT)
New Zealand To Ban Chinese App TikTok On Government Devices After Ban In UK & U.S. (Live TV interview on India's Mirror Now TV)

India
The Debate: Xi Jinping Handed Unprecedented 3rd Term, What Does It Mean For India? (Live TV panel debate on Republic TV of India)

China, India power game for Sri Lanka; Russia, Pakistan oil deal (Live feature interview with Press TV)

North Korea
N Korea test-fires 2 submarine-launched strategic cruise missiles ahead of US-South Korea war-games (Live interview on Press TV)

North Korea says it has test-fired four strategic cruise missiles (Live interview with Press TV)

Roundup on China's Covid strategy
A roundup on China's Covid strategy (A live TV on-location recording for Russia's NTV's weekly analytical show)

Cheer up and chill out
I have added a new entry "A Flash of Inspiration" and some other translations to a repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words.

My coming London sojourn mid-July through August
I will be staying in London from 17 July to 31 August, where I remain open to business meetings, interviews, speaking engagements, lectures, social get-togethers etc.

International investment opportunities
I have joined the International Advisory Board of Silk Road Partners, an international investment firm. See its corporate profile. Mr Yves Leterme, ex-Prime Minister of Belgium (November 2009 to December 2011) has joined the International Advisory Board. If you are interested in getting in touch with us, please give me a shout.

Consultation services
Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987. I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at linkedin.com/in/andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks
My posts are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What's New . A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here.You may save it for reference or reading at leisure. You are free to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies
I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help. If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my data bank permanently.

Best personal regards,

Andrew K. P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Company Limited

Positions

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017)

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy)

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20)

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)

Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020)

International Advisory Board Member, Silk Road Partners

Download Silk Road Partners - corporate profile 24-06-2022

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM)

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016)

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002

Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List

Posted at 10:00 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Cities, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, History, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Manufacturing , Middle Class, North Korea, Philosophy, Population, Regional development, Russia, Science, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

February 27, 2023

Minning Town - China's new popular TV series recently dubbed in English and Arabic for global distribution

The original Chinese TV series 山海情 consisting of 23 epistles delves into China's poverty relief struggle in the 1990s, full of heart-wrenching ups and downs. It has recently been dubbed in English and Arabic for global distribution, winning wide acclaim. The English version can be watched here.

Unlike "Wolf Warrior" films, the series should appeal to a massive audience in the poverty-stricken "global South". The effort appears to be a tale-telling breakthrough in projecting China's 'soft power" globally.

The backdrop is China's continuing poverty relief struggle. Since 1980, China has managed to lift some 800 million people out of extreme poverty (defined as per capita income of US$2.3 a day). Click here However, images of throngs of ultra-modern middle-income spenders notwithstanding, some 600 million Chinese still live with US$5 a day. Click here

Posted at 10:32 PM in Africa, Asia, Central America, China's Rise, Current Affairs, Democracy, Development_, Emerging Economies, Eurasia, Film, Food and Water Security, Geopolitics, Latin America, Middle East, Regional development, Southeast Asia, Sustainable Development, Television, Vietnam, World | Permalink | Comments (0)

December 29, 2021

Andrew's January 2022 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my January 2022 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website)

Greetings! May I first wish you a promising and rewarding 2022, pandemics notwithstanding!

From a trade and tech war, US bipartisan pushback against China is morphing into a clash of civilizations. Along with close Western allies, the United States is doubling down on demonizing China at every turn, imposing sanctions, denying access to markets and technologies, expanding provocative "Freedom of Navigation Operations" in the South China Sea, employing "salami slicing" tactics to advance Taiwan's de facto independence, and calling for a "diplomatic boycott" of China's Winter Olympics. All the while, the US expects China to open up more of its markets, cooperate on Climate Change, North Korea, Iran and Afghanistan, in short to bow in all to US-defined rules and objectives. All these are opening up "century of humiliation" wounds of a more globally-influential, technologically-savvy, militarily-advanced, and ideologically-self-assured China under President Xi.

Attitude is no strategy. Unsurprisingly, the US tactic of maximum coercion doesn't appear to have yielded fruitful results, not to mention broken global supply and value chains, and rising domestic inflation. "Strategic miscalculations" abound, forgetting that politics remains the art of the possible. This is especially true with a peer competitor set to become the world's largest economy within a decade, one on which 128 of 190 countries worldwide depend as their largest trading partner, and one with a completely different ideology, culture and ancient civilization.

The following may hopefully offer some fresh perspectives.

US-China Rivalry

Seven reasons the US and China should be building more bridges not tearing them down (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)

To avert mutual destruction with China, President Biden should move from "maximum confrontation" to "constructive re-engagement" (An in-depth analysis)

How will a new US-China "Cold War" play out? (Feature article in World Strategic Insights) Also published in French, Italian, Russian, and Arabic. The originating analysis is here.

Competition Without Catastrophe - Can America both challenge and coexist with China? (Op-ed in World Strategic Insights) The originating analysis is here.

What are America's anti-China "strategic miscalculations" or "misjudgments"? (Live interview with Press TV)

What the US-led Democracy Forum doesn't say (Live interview with Press TV)

Xi-Biden virtual summit (Radio interview with Washington-DC based Feature Story News)

US-China tensions (Indus News In Focus TV panel discussion)

Mainland China

China's Sixth Party Plenum, the New Cold War, and the Contest for new Global Order (A PowerPoint presentation)

Xi's Plan to build PRC 3.0 - November Party Plenum (Feature article in World Strategic Insights) Also published in Spanish, French, and Russian A background analysis is here

China: The Evergrande Crisis (Feature article in The Global Analyst) Also republished with permission in Spanish in World Strategic Insights

China's Common Prosperity Goal (Feature article in The Global Analyst) Also republished with permission in Spanish in World Strategic Insights

Is China's Dual Circulation Strategy moving from market driven growth to planned allocation? (Op-ed in World Strategic Insights) The originating analysis is here.

China's Stagflation Risks - Warning Signals (Feature article in The Global Analyst)

CPC's Central Committee Sixth Plenum - What does it signify? (Backchat with Radio Television Hong Kong)

China: Time of Xi (3-part TV documentary introducing President Xi's vision of the China Dream)

Russia

President Putin's virtual summit with President Xi - what's on the agenda - Russian TV channel (Pre-recorded video interview dubbed in Russian)

Taiwan

China may possess 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030, unlikely to invade Taiwan in next few years (An in-depth analysis)

China warns U.S. against having any illusion about Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV)

US to pay unbearable price over Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV)

Taiwan plans to boost combat capabilities of its reserve forces (Live interview with Press TV)

China defends recent drills near Taipei (Live interview with Press TV)

U.S. special forces quietly training Taiwanese (Live interview with Press TV)

Rising tensions over Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV)

India

Modi-Putin summit on defense cooperation - what does it imply? (The Debate on India's Republic TV)

How to de-escalate tensions over the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India and China (Live panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)

How Indian television hypes up one-sided rhetoric to demonize China as aggressor (Live panel discussion on India's Republic TV)

From Indian border clashes to tension over Taiwan (Live panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)

Taliban, Pakistan

Taliban and the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) (Pre-recorded TV interview broadcast in Persian on Iran International TV headquartered in London).

North Korea

N. Korea views joint U.S.-South war games as rehearsal for possible invasion (Live interview with Press TV)

Covid-19

China calls U.S. intelligence review into origins of COVID-19 'political & false' (Live interview with Press TV)

Hong Kong

One Country Two Systems Revisited (Chapter 7 in The Rise of China – Fresh Insights and Observations, published by the Paddy Ashdown Forum (PAF)

Hong Kong elections: 153 hopefuls vying for 90 seats, first time every constituency being contested (Live TV interview on Channel News Asia (CNA))

Hong Kong social welfare spending cuts (Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong)

China's Winter Olympics

China warns not to politicize sports as some western countries boycott Beijing game (Live interview with Press TV)

Cheer up and chill out

I have added some inspirational translations to the repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially.

Consultation services

Please email me at [email protected] or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987. I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor.

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help. If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently.

Best personal regards,

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com

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