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June 10, 2020

Andrew's June 2020 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my June 2020 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings! 
 
In just a few months, the world has changed almost beyond recognition. The Coronavirus pandemic has revealed the true colors of nations and peoples. It has changed how lives and businesses can be conducted. It has intensified an epochal contest for global power leading to a face-off between the world's Superpower (with its liberal world order) and its perceived challenger, with increasing risks of miscalculations.
 
Hong Kong, where I am based, is right at the center of these shocks. As if that is not enough, Beijing's unilateral introduction of a national security law for Hong Kong rattles the dynamics underpinning One Country Two Systems. This unique status has been an incalculable boon not only for China and the Special Administrative Region but for the rest of the world. Now the United States is threatening unspecified sanctions which could undermine Hong Kong's survival as a global financial center. 
 
Amidst the doom and gloom, the following may hopefully offer some fresh perspectives in seeing through the smoke and mirrors.

 

Hong Kong

 

USA-China tussle: geo-strategically the report on the death of Hong Kong's autonomy is somewhat exaggerated (A dissection of what is behind Hong Kong's national security law) 

China's HK national security law threatens HK's One Country Two Systems? (Live interview on WION TV) 

Hong Kong leader slams ‘double standards’ on national security, cites US unrest (Live interview on Press TV) 

Hong Kong govt. warns removing US special status is "double-edged sword"  (Live interview on Press TV) 

Hong Kong’s leader reaffirms new law would not harm rights, freedoms (Live interview on Press TV) 

Should Hong Kong civil servants be loyal to Beijing? (A RTHK Backchat discussion) 

National Security Law and personal freedom (A RTHK Backchat discussion) 

Is the US posture on Hong Kong's national security law part of the anti-China "cold war"? (Live interview on TRT World) 

China's controversial security law becomes a flash point in Hong Kong (Live TV interview on WION of India and CCTV background documentary) 

Pompeo threatens China on impinging on Hong Kong's autonomy and freedoms (Live interview on Press TV)

A "mid-term" Hong Kong Government ministerial reshuffle (A RTHK Backchat discussion) 

US-China great power rivalry

Strategic US-China decoupling in the tech sector (A Hinrich Foundation report) 
The Struggle for Power: U.S.-China Relations in the 21st Century (A prelude to a new US defining strategy)
US China "Cold War" and the Coronavirus Crisis (Live interview on Press TV) 
Where is China? - A perspective (A multi-angle look on multi-media) 
 
Coronavirus crisis
 
Covid-19 Crisis - Can China bounce back? (Feature report in The Global Analyst)
Is China to blame for Covid-19 pandemic?  (An in-depth analysis) 
RSF complains to UN about Coronavirus press freedom  (Live TV panel discussion on Indus News) 
US-China sprat over Coronavirus pandemic (Live interview on Indus News)
China raps Trump over Chinese virus tweet (Live interview on Press TV) 
China offers help to US to deal with Coronavirus (Live interview on Press TV) 
Economic impact of Covid-19 on global economy (Live TV interview on Ren TV of Moscow) 
Is the world prepared for a looming Covid-19 pandemic? (Live panel discussion on Indus News) 
 
World Order
 
China has created tech ‘new world order’ in Big data and AI (A Future Today Institute tech-trend report)
 
 
Energy
 
 
History 
 
Book Review of "The Last Journey Of The San Bao Eunuch, Admiral Zheng He" (Book review invited by author)
 
7th International Conference on Eurasian Politics & Society in Lisbon, Portugal postponed to 24-25 September 2020 
 
Subject to exigencies, I am scheduled to present at the above international conference my full-length Paper How will Eurasian Integration of China's Belt & Road Initiative fare in defending a Multipolar World Order. Should this materialize, I will upload my Paper and PowerPoint presentation to this website afterwards. 
 
Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. 

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

Posted at 11:38 AM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Cities, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Europe, Finance, Food and Drink, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, History, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Manufacturing , Middle Class, North Korea, Population, Regional development, Russia, Science, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

June 05, 2020

China's HK national security law threatens HK's One Country Two Systems?

Live TV interview on 1st June with WION (World is One News), a leading independent news-based English TV channel in India. 

Posted at 10:00 AM in Asia, Banking, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Covid-19, Currencies, Current Affairs, Democracy, Economy, Emerging Economies, EU, Europe, Finance, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, India, Investment , Military, Politics, Regional development, South China Sea, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Technology, Television, UK, United States, Warfare, World | | Comments (0)

May 10, 2020

How the UN Security Council could agree on reining in mutual aggression to fight Covid-19?

Live TV interview with Press TV on 9 May, 2020.

Posted at 08:00 PM in Arctic, Asia, Biotechnology, Central America, China's Rise, Covid-19, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, EU, Europe, Finance, Future, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, ICT, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Latin America, Manufacturing , Middle East, Military, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Public health , Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Technology, Television, UK, United States, Warfare, World | | Comments (0)

April 17, 2020

US - China strategic relations amidst allegations of China's secret low-level nuclear testing

Live TV discussion with Indus News on 17 April, 2020 (My intervention starts at time counter 18:11) 

Posted at 03:09 PM in Asia, China's politics, China's Rise, Consumption, Covid-19, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Denuclearization, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, History, Innovation, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Military, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Public health , Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Technology, UK, United States, Warfare, World | | Comments (0)

March 25, 2020

The Coronavirus could usher in a Brave New World

China Is Maneuvering for International Leadership as the United States Falters, notes an article in Foreign Affairs dated 18 March, 2020 - The Coronavirus Could Reshape Global Order.

The piece flags up China's initial coverup and its subsequent turning of the table on Western narratives. Boosted by its position as the world's dominant producer of critical anti-virus equipment and supplies, China is positioning itself as a global saviour as much of the West, especially the United States, is overwhelmed by sheer lack of preparedness, worry over economic interests, and a certain amount of wishful thinking. 

The EU has recently sounded warning bells about China's geopolitical ambitions as it emerges from the crisis. While many countries are benefitting from China's timely supply of medical equipment, especially life-saving ventilators, there is growing international momentum involving China and other countries to coordinate efforts, and share experience, expertise and research for an effective vaccine. The G20 video conferencing on 26 March is an important milestone. 

As the Southern Hemisphere is beginning to stand on edge, the crisis seems just unfolding. There is critical demand for more WHO monitoring, openness of testing statistics, joint research into the virus's origin and behaviour, more emphasis on human lives, and greater leadership of the world's two superpowers - the United States and China.

What's more, it's important to remember viruses have no borders. Before raising accusing fingers, it is instructive to recall where the 2009-10 global H1N1 "swine fever" first started to spread, infecting some 1.3 billion people worldwide and causing well over half a million deaths. 

In any event, when the crisis is all over, the world will not be the same again.

A new world order is already emerging. Economic gravitas has been shifting away from developed countries. They are no longer key drivers of global growth. More countries will become sensitive to external dependence, especially on critical health and security architecture.

On the other hand, the whole world will become even more connected thanks to new digital technologies. Supply and value chains may change but they have become intricately intertwined across the globe that complete decoupling is unlikely to be possible. More people will become aware of each other country's interdependence, thanks to the Coronavirus and growing threats of Climate Change. 

China, for one, seems more prepared than others to embrace a looming Brave New World. China in a new Era of Global Disruptions, my latest PowerPoint presentation, may offer more food for thought. 

Posted at 06:36 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, BRICS, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, Ethics, EU, Europe, Finance, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Military, North Korea, Philosophy, Population, Regional development, Russia, Science, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Travel, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

February 19, 2020

Andrew's March 2020 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my March 2020 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings from Hong Kong!

We are still in the grip of somewhat overlapping crises, epidemic and political. The Motherland is facing an unprecedented double-whammy. The economic fallout from a bitter trade war with the United States is far from over. At the same time, death of a prominent Covid-19 epidemic whistle-blower exposed the fault lines of China's top-down model for all to see, both within and outside China. This hands convenient ammunition to "China hawks" across the aisle on Capitol Hill at a time of sharpening contest between a US-led liberal world order and its perceived challenger. 

In a way, Hong Kong is an epitome of a disrupted world on all fronts. These include widening political divides, clamour for social justice, epidemic black swans, Climate Change, vulnerability to over-globalization and one-sided supply chains, and collateral damage resulting from intensifying US-China rivalry, not to mention disruptive technologies like 5-G and artificial intelligence. 

How these crises and disruptions unfold will not only re-configure economies, businesses, and international relations across the globe, but will likely re-shape the world order and people's daily lives in decades to come. 

Hopefully, the following may offer a little food for thought.

Covid-19 Crisis 

Latest development on the coronavirus crisis in Hong Kong and the Mainland  (Live radio panel discussion on Backchat with Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK)

China injects $173 billion to stabilize economy following virus outbreak (Live interview with PressTV) 

WHO declares international health emergency on Wuhan novel coronavirus  (Live interview with PressTV)

Hong Kong under political stress

Six powerful reasons for Beijing to rethink how Hong Kong should be governed, in the interests of long-term stability (South China Morning Post Op-ed) 

Tsai’s win won’t help HK protests (Quoted in The Strait Times) 
The Brief: Hong Kong Protests: behind the smoke and mirrors (In-depth live interviews with A News Television of Turkey). 
Hong Kong protests after Beijing's Fourth Plenum (Two-part TV interview on Talk the Walk with HKIBC (Hong Kong International Business Channel) 
 
US-China Rivalry
 
China has agreed with US to cancel tariffs in phases (Live TV interview with Channel News Asia (CNA))
 
China in the 2020's
 
China in the 2020's - Expect Game-Changing Developments (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 
The article also appears on World Geostrategic Insights
The seven trends that will define China in the 2020s (Op-ed in South China Morning Post) 
 
Global Distrust Crisis
 
MEDays Forum 2019 - 13-16 November, 2019, Tangier, Morocco (Presentations (Speaking Notes) and photos) 
 
7th International Conference on Eurasian Politics & Society on 14th–15th May 2020 in Lisbon, Portugal.
 
Subject to exigencies, I am scheduled to present at the above international conference my full-length Paper How will Eurasian Integration of China's Belt & Road Initiative fare in defending a Multipolar World Order. Should this materialize, I will upload my Paper and PowerPoint presentation to this website afterwards. 
 
 
(A short music video capturing some special moments)  
 
Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. 

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am also open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

Posted at 02:37 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, BRICS, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Military, North Korea, Population, Regional development, Russia, Science, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, Travel, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, Web/Tech, World | | Comments (0)

November 17, 2019

The Global Distrust Crisis - MEDays Forum 2019 - 13-16 November, 2019, Tangier, Morocco

The MEDays Forum is an annual international conference in Tangier focussing on global issues attended by hundreds of delegates across the world. It is organized by the Amadeus Institute, a think tank under the auspices of HRH The King of Morocco. The 2019 Forum had the theme of "The Global Distrust Crisis". I was invited to speak at a plenary and a business and policy session on 16 November.

Following were my speaking notes. 

Download 2019 MEDays Forum Speaking Notes - Global Disorder

Download 2019 MEDays Speaking Notes - Energy War

View this photo (1) View this photo (2) View this photo (3) View this photo (4)




Posted at 12:38 PM in Africa, Asia, Banking, Brexit, BRICS, China Business, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Current Affairs, Defense, Denuclearization, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Population, Regional development, Russia, South China Sea, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Terrorism , Travel, United States, Urbanization, World | | Comments (0)

October 27, 2019

Andrew's November 2019 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my November 2019 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings! 

The freest city in the world, Hong Kong has paradoxically descended into anarchy and a crisis of confidence. Fake news and conspiracy theories abound. Geopolitics are out in the open. Tense US-China relations and Taiwan electioneering are using Hong Kong as a pawn. Its fluid, social media-driven tactics are inspiring protests from Catalonia to Chile. As I write, street violence continues. 
 
Twenty-two years after return to the motherland, Hong Kong has suddenly woken up to the contradictions of One Country Two Systems. Beneath a prosperous surface, identity and social divide are tearing the city apart, aided and abetted by politicians and ulterior forces. 
 
It will be a while before Beijing and Hong Kong emerge from this trauma. Meanwhile, the following may offer some perspectives. 
 
Hong Kong 
 
How to calm Hong Kong's protests (Op-ed in South China Morning Post)
The geopolitics of Hong Kong's protests (Article on World Geostrategic Insights) 
Why the Hong Kong protesters' remaining demands can't be met (Live TV interview on Aljazeera English Channel) 
Unpacking Hong Kong's protests (Live interview on Sky News TV) 
Can China tame Hong Kong?  (Recorded panel discussion on BBC World Service - The Real Story) 
Carrie Lam's Extradition Bill withdrawal - whys and wherefores (Live interview on Channel News Asia (CNA)) 
 
China at 70
 
Cross Talk: Communist China at 70 (Live TV panel debate on RT's Cross Talk)  
 
China & World Order
 
A new Asian Century looms? (In-depth analysis drawn from "The Future is Asian" and McKinsey Global Institute) 
 
Greater Bay Area
US-China Rivalry and trade war

US upped the ante with tariffs on China (Live interview with TRT World) 
State of The Play on US-China Competition - Center for Strategic and International Studies (An audio interview with Steve Hadley, former National Security Advisor) 
 
North Korea

 
China-India-Pakistan
 
 
My coming speaking engagement in Tangier, Morocco

As a Sponsored Speaker, I will be attending Amadeus Institute's 2019 MEDays Forum  in Tangier, Morocco from 13-16 November. I will be speaking on Towards a New Global Disorder and Commercials Wars & Energy Wars. My speaking notes will be uploaded on my website in due course. 

After the Forum, I will be staying in London until the early part of January, 2020. 

Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He has been based in Abu Dhabi working on private equity for the past two years. He has now returned to the financial services sector in London. His personal email address is terencehyleung@gmail.com  

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List  

Posted at 09:50 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Brexit, BRICS, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Denuclearization, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Life, Lifestyle, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Regional development, Russia, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, Terrorism , Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

September 23, 2019

A new Asian Century looms?

The Future is Asian , proclaims Parag Khanna, acclaimed globalist and author of this seminal book launched in February 2019.

According to the book review on Amazon.com, "Far greater than just China, the new Asian system taking shape is a multi-civilizational order spanning Saudi Arabia to Japan, Russia to Australia, Turkey to Indonesia—linking five billion people through trade, finance, infrastructure, and diplomatic networks that together represent 40 percent of global GDP. China has taken a lead in building the new Silk Roads across Asia, but it will not lead it alone. Rather, Asia is rapidly returning to the centuries-old patterns of commerce, conflict, and cultural exchange that thrived long before European colonialism and American dominance. Asians will determine their own future—and as they collectively assert their interests around the world, they will determine ours as well".

Evidently, Khanna's Asia is far more extensive, extending to Russia and the Middle East. A more circumscribed study of the emerging dominance of Asia comes in the form of a discussion paper dated September 2019 by McKinsey Global Institute- The future of Asia: Asian flows and networks are defining the next phase of globalization .

The paper makes the following salient observations -

(a) By 2017, Asia accounted for 42% of global GDP in terms of purchasing power parity, ahead of 40% of Europe and North America combined. By 2040, Asia's share is expected to increase to 52% in PPP terms and 46% in real terms, representing 39% of global consumption. 

(b) Global cross-border flows are shifting toward Asia on seven of eight dimensions—trade, capital, people, knowledge, transport, culture, resources, and the environment. The only flow that has declined is waste (environment).

(c) Asia’s integration is increasing with a shift toward regionalization. 60% of goods traded, 71% of investment in start-ups and 59% of foreign direct investment (FDI) are intraregional, with 74% travelling within the region.

(d) Asia is not monolithic but rich in diversity, resilience, and competitive strengths, yet highly integrated and mutually complimentary in metrics of innovation, market, labour, capital and cultural diversity. 

(e) There are Four Asia's: Advanced Asia (Australia, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, and South Korea) with strengths in technology, capital and high-end consumption; China, a class of its own, acting as Asia's anchor an hub in connectivity and a hotbed for innovation; Emerging Asia (Bhutan, Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) with dynamism in labor productivity, growth potential and intraregional connectivity; and India and Frontier Asia (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Fiji, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Maldives, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) with a large, young population and broader range of external trading relationships outside Asia.

(f) By 2040, China's GDP is likely to reach $36 trillion, bigger than the rest of the Four Asia's combined ($31 trillion) 

(g) As China shifts from labour-intensive manufacturing, thanks to US-China trade war, Emerging and Frontier Asia's are picking up a share of this relocation. Advanced Asia and China are leading start-ups in Emerging Asia. 

(h) Asia is a dynamic hub for people, idea and culture flows. By 2018, outbound international airline passengers had risen to more than 415 million. A number of cities are becoming more cosmopolitan, such as Seoul, Bangkok, Manila, Hanoi, and Auckland.

It is evident that the 21st century is being redefined by Asia's growing connectivity and gravitas, where China is likely to exercise an outsized role. Apart from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the New Development Bank, and the Belt and Road, China and much of the rest of Asia will be even more closely bound together when the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Agreement is concluded by the end of this year. This will cover ASEAN and all their respective free trade agreement partners, representing 47.4% of world population, 32.2% of global economy, 29.1 % of global trade, and 32.5% of global investment flows.

There are also good reasons for China to be welcomed and to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement between Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam effective December 2018. 

Against the above background, any grand strategy to isolate or decouple China may increasingly seem like a pipedream. 

Listen to a McKinsey podcast for a Conversation about the Future of Asia.

Posted at 04:41 PM in Asia, Banking, BRICS, China Business, China's Rise, Cities, City Profile, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Development_, e-Commerce, Economics, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Eurasia, Europe, Finance, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, Healthcare, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Lifestyle, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, North Korea, Pakistan, Politics, Population, Regional development, Russia, Science, South China Sea, Sports, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Travel, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (1)

August 28, 2019

Andrew's September 2019 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my September 2019 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

Greetings! 

Hong Kong has had a long and fiery summer. Reminiscent of the "butterfly effect", triggered by a Taiwan murder case, an extradition bill intended to prevent Hong Kong from becoming a haven for criminal fugitives has led to socio-political conflagration. The bill's extension to cover extradition to Mainland China ignited a powder keg of pent-up frustrations. These include upward hopelessness of the younger generation, anger with One Country Two Systems increasingly tilting towards One Country, and the government's perceived haughty nonchalance. While the vast majority of protesters are peaceful, diehard militants, apparently aided and abetted by behind-the-scene politicians and other backers, are holding the city's law and order to ransom. 
 
Preceded by peaceful protests, the same real-time dramas of violent police-confrontation by black-clad, gas-masked militants unfold before a tired and worried city every weekend evening. Caches of high-explosives were uncovered. Petrol bombs, handy catapults and sharp metal objects are deployed. The police responds with tear gas, beanbag rounds, and arrests.  Hong Kong's parliament chamber was ransacked. The national emblem of Beijing's representative office was defaced. A hoisted national flag was thrown into the harbour. Police stations and staff quarters were attacked while police relatives and kids are targeted for harassment.  Hong Kong's international airport was obstructed to a halt. Slogans of "Liberate Hong Kong" and "Revolution of Our Times" appear in banners or sprayed on buildings.  Ten Hong Kong people were recently caught displaying these banners in Tibet. A sense of anarchy and ulterior motives prevails.
 
Meanwhile, protesters remain insistent on their "Five Demands": formal "withdrawal" of the now officially-abandoned and declared "dead" extradition bill, setting up an independent commission of enquiry to look into alleged police brutality, non-application of the crime of "Riot", freeing all arrested protesters, and universal suffrage unconstrained by Hong Kong's Basic Law. The government has refused to capitulate to these demands. 
 
Conspiracy rumours abound. References to a "color revolution" and a Hong Kong-styled "Tiananmen Square" are becoming more frequent. The People's Liberation Army in Hong Kong's garrison and across the border are on high alert. One Country Two Systems appears on the brink of being torn apart. 
 
As I write, the Hong Kong situation remains fluid. This is compounded by uncertain trade and geopolitical rivalry between China and the United States. The G7 has affirmed the validity of the UK-China Joint Declaration on One Country Two Systems, cautioning against violence on both sides. 
 
Amid the smoke and mirrors, the following may hopefully offer some fresh perspective. 
 
Hong Kong 
 
Is a lull in violence in Hong Kong's protests a turning point for the better or for worse? (Live TV interview with CNA (Channel News Asia, Singapore) 
Cathay Pacific high-level reshuffle and Hong Kong protests impact on economy  (Live interview with Talking Business on BBC World News) 
Mayhem in Hong Kong International Airport - what can the UK government do?  (Live interview with LBC (London Broadcasting Company) Radio)
Another phase of Hong Kong's protests (Live interview with TRT (Turkey))
What's behind Beijing's press briefing on Hong Kong (Live interviews with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) Radio) 
Now that Beijing has spoken, what next for the Hong Kong protests? (Live interviews with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) Radio and PressTV)
The Heat: Hong Kong protests with CGTN America, Washington D.C.  (Live TV panel discussion on CGTN America, Washington D.C.) 
What now, after Carrie Lam declared the extradition bill "dead"? (Live interview on ABC News Radio Sydney) 
The ins and outs of the storming of Hong Kong's Legislative Council (Live radio interview on BBC The World Tonight and live TV interview on The Brief, ANews TV Channel. Turkey) 
Real-time storming by protestors of the Hong Kong Legislative Council (Live TV interviews with BBC News and Sky News) 
Hong Kong extradition issue elevated to G20? (Live TV interview with CNA (Channel News Asia), Singapore) 
Hong Kong extradition bill suspended - what now? (Two live TV interviews on Aljazeera English Channel and a synopsis of the bill's background and broader implications) 
Hong Kong massive protest march against extradition bill (Live radio interview with BBC Newshour on 9 June)
 
Trade war
 
Has the US overplayed its hand on trade? (Op-ed in Project Syndicate) 
Why the US-China trade war broke down and what's behind it all? (2-part TV interview with Hong Kong International Business Channel)
Trump to China: Deal now or face far worse terms (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
Huawei - Technology War
 
 
China connects the world: Creation of a Sino-centric or more inclusive world order? (A PowerPoint presentation to British Business Association of Macao)
America Must Prepare for the Coming Chinese Empire (National Interest article of 17 June 2019 by Robert Kaplan) 
 
Belt and Road
 
 
North Korea
 
 
Military
 
US massive arms sale to Taiwan squares with One-China policy?  (Live TV interviews with RT and Press TV) 
Why US steps up weapon sales to Taiwan? Live interview with Press TV)
 
Kashmir, Hong Kong's status on T-shirts and Macao's future
 
China ‘can’t just stay out’ of Kashmir dispute, will play peacemaker (Commentary on RT Question More and Live TV interview on Indus News, Pakistan) 
India's sudden cancellation of Kashmir's special status (Live TV panel discussion on Indus News, Pakistan, and commentary on RT Question More) 
 
Economy and long-term trajectory

China: Learning from mistakes and deficiencies (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 
 
Sustainable Development
 
Financial Inclusion (Live panel discussion on Backchat, Radio Hong Kong) 
 
Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He has been based in Abu Dhabi working on private equity for the past two years. He has now returned to the financial services sector in London. His personal email address is terencehyleung@gmail.com  

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Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

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My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

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I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List

Posted at 08:45 PM in Asia, Banking, Biotechnology, Books, BRICS, Business promotion, China Business, China's politics, China's Rise, Climate Change , Consumption, Currencies, Current Affairs, Defense, Democracy, Development_, e-Commerce, Economy, Emerging Economies, Energy, EU, Europe, Finance, Food and Water Security, Future, Gas, Geopolitics, Globalization, History, Hong Kong, Innovation, Investment , Japan, Lifestyle, Manufacturing , Middle Class, Middle East, Military, North Korea, Population, Regional development, Russia, Sustainable Development, Taiwan, Technology, Television, United States, Urbanization, Vietnam, World | | Comments (0)

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