What's New

How the Ukrainian Crisis Impacts on Eurasia Geopolitics and US-China Relations

A Zoom PowerPoint presentation to the EGN (Executive Global Network) Groups in Hong Kong, End March to 7 April, 2022

Download How the Ukrainian Crisis Impacts on Eurasia Geopolitics US-China Relations including HK

 

Iran’s foreign minister says Afghanistan deserves more attention from the international community - China's perspective

Live interview on 30 March 2022 with Press TV. 

Andrew's January 2022 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my January 2022 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website) 

Greetings! May I first wish you a promising and rewarding 2022, pandemics notwithstanding! 

 

From a trade and tech war, US bipartisan pushback against China is morphing into a clash of civilizations. Along with close Western allies, the United States is doubling down on demonizing China at every turn, imposing sanctions, denying access to markets and technologies, expanding provocative "Freedom of Navigation Operations" in the South China Sea, employing "salami slicing" tactics to advance Taiwan's de facto independence, and calling for a "diplomatic boycott" of China's Winter Olympics. All the while, the US expects China to open up more of its markets, cooperate on Climate Change, North Korea, Iran and Afghanistan, in short to bow in all to US-defined rules and objectives. All these are opening up "century of humiliation" wounds of a more globally-influential, technologically-savvy, militarily-advanced, and ideologically-self-assured China under President Xi. 

 

Attitude is no strategy. Unsurprisingly, the US tactic of maximum coercion doesn't appear to have yielded fruitful results, not to mention broken global supply and value chains, and rising domestic inflation. "Strategic miscalculations" abound, forgetting that politics remains the art of the possible. This is especially true with a peer competitor set to become the world's largest economy within a decade, one on which 128 of 190 countries worldwide depend as their largest trading partner, and one with a completely different ideology, culture and ancient civilization. 

 

The following may hopefully offer some fresh perspectives.  

 

US-China Rivalry

 

Seven reasons the US and China should be building more bridges not tearing them down (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)

To avert mutual destruction with China, President Biden should move from "maximum confrontation" to "constructive re-engagement" (An in-depth analysis)

How will a new US-China "Cold War" play out? (Feature article in World Strategic Insights) Also published in French, Italian, Russian, and Arabic. The originating analysis is here.

Competition Without Catastrophe - Can America both challenge and coexist with China?  (Op-ed in World Strategic Insights) The originating analysis is here. 

What are America's anti-China "strategic miscalculations" or "misjudgments"? (Live interview with Press TV)

What the US-led Democracy Forum doesn't say (Live interview with Press TV)

Xi-Biden virtual summit (Radio interview with Washington-DC based Feature Story News)

US-China tensions (Indus News In Focus TV panel discussion)

 

Mainland China

 

China's Sixth Party Plenum, the New Cold War, and the Contest for new Global Order (A PowerPoint presentation) 

Xi's Plan to build PRC 3.0 - November Party Plenum (Feature article in World Strategic Insights) Also published in Spanish, French, and Russian  A background analysis is here

China: The Evergrande Crisis (Feature article in The Global Analyst) Also republished with permission in Spanish in World Strategic Insights 

China's Common Prosperity Goal  (Feature article in The Global Analyst) Also republished with permission in Spanish in World Strategic Insights 

Is China's Dual Circulation Strategy moving from market driven growth to planned allocation? (Op-ed in World Strategic Insights) The originating analysis is here.

China's Stagflation Risks - Warning Signals  (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

CPC's Central Committee Sixth Plenum - What does it signify? (Backchat with Radio Television Hong Kong) 

China: Time of Xi (3-part TV documentary introducing President Xi's vision of the China Dream)

 

Russia

 

President Putin's virtual summit with President Xi - what's on the agenda - Russian TV channel (Pre-recorded video interview dubbed in Russian) 

 

Taiwan

 

China may possess 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030, unlikely to invade Taiwan in next few years (An in-depth analysis)

China warns U.S. against having any illusion about Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV) 

US to pay unbearable price over Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV)

Taiwan plans to boost combat capabilities of its reserve forces (Live interview with Press TV) 

China defends recent drills near Taipei (Live interview with Press TV) 

U.S. special forces quietly training Taiwanese (Live interview with Press TV) 

Rising tensions over Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

India

 

Modi-Putin summit on defense cooperation - what does it imply?  (The Debate on India's Republic TV)

How to de-escalate tensions over the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India and China (Live panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)

How Indian television hypes up one-sided rhetoric to demonize China as aggressor (Live panel discussion on India's Republic TV)

From Indian border clashes to tension over Taiwan (Live panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)

 

Taliban, Pakistan

 

Taliban and the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) (Pre-recorded TV interview broadcast in Persian on Iran International TV headquartered in London).

 

North Korea

 

N. Korea views joint U.S.-South war games as rehearsal for possible invasion (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Covid-19

 

China calls U.S. intelligence review into origins of COVID-19 'political & false' (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Hong Kong

 

One Country Two Systems Revisited (Chapter 7 in The Rise of China – Fresh Insights and Observations, published by the Paddy Ashdown Forum (PAF)

Hong Kong elections: 153 hopefuls vying for 90 seats, first time every constituency being contested (Live TV interview on Channel News Asia (CNA)) 

Hong Kong social welfare spending cuts (Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong) 

 

China's Winter Olympics

 

China warns not to politicize sports as some western countries boycott Beijing game (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Cheer up and chill out

 

I have added some inspirational translations to the repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. 

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20)

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)

Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

Taliban and the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)

Pre-recorded TV interview broadcast in Persian on 28 September, 2021 on Iran International TV headquartered in London. 

Download INTERVIEW_AITV_KATERINA_1

Andrew's October 2021 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my October 2021 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website) 

Greetings!

 

President Biden has retreated from a "forever war" in Afghanistan to concentrate minds on China, leaving new geopolitical space for China and Russia in Eurasia and the Arab Peninsula. Notwithstanding a high-profile "hostage exchange" with Beijing, the United States is doubling down on confronting China in the Asia Pacific. Witness the AUKUS (Australia-UK-US) nuclear-powered-submarine alliance, completing the China-encirclement with military assets in the "First and Second Island Chains" (Okinawa and Guam). This augments other coercive capabilities, including sanctions, tariffs, decoupling, and access denial of frontier technologies, not to mention anti-China narratives and tactics on human rights and democracy. 

 

China is being seen as an existential disruptor of the extant world order dominated by the United States. It begs the question how the West would be able to coexist and where needed, share power with a self-assured, ideologically different China on an equal footing. It also calls into question whether obsession with military and coercive tactics would be barking up the wrong tree, especially when China may become the world's largest economy sooner than expected. 

 

During this global power transition, different dynamics in multiple theatres, arenas and regions are at play. The following may hopefully help with some fresh perspectives. 

 

China

"China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem" - A rebuttal  (An in-depth analysis) Also published in French, Spanish, and Russian.

China’s ‘common prosperity’ goal won’t mean Robin Hood-style redistribution (Op-ed in South China Morning Post) 

Behind Beijing's Big Tech Crackdown (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

Beijing’s massive crackdown on Big Tech won’t derail China’s trajectory (Article in World Strategic Insights)

China’s game-changing digital sovereign currency is set to mitigate its ‘Dollar Trap’ but unlikely to usurp the dollar’s supremacy

 

World Order

New Concert of Powers: How to Prevent Catastrophe and Promote Stability in a Multipolar World (A PowerPoint presentation) 

The original concept article is published by World Strategic Insights in  Chinese, French, Spanish, Russian, and Arabic.

The Long Game : China's Grand Strategy to Displace American Order (An in-depth analysis) 

End of an Empire (An Indian journalist's outline of "American decline") 

 

CCP 

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Centenary in Retrospect (Feature article in The Global Analyst, republished by World Geostrategic Insights in French, Spanish, Russian and Arabic) 

Xi’s Gamble: The Race to Consolidate Power and Stave Off Disaster (An in-depth analysis) 

 

Space and Technology

China's Space Odyssey (Feature article in The Global Analyst, reprinted in World Geostrategic Insights)

Quantum computing - a new frontier in techno-nationalism (A Hindrich Foundation report) 

 

US-China conflicts

China slams US for sailing warship through South China Sea (Live interview with Press TV) 

Beijing slams US for blacklisting 23 Chinese entities over alleged human rights abuses (TV interview with Press TV) 

 

Taiwan

US approves potential sale of Howitzer artillery systems to Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

North Korea

North Korea rejects call to declare end of Korean War over persisting ‘US hostile policy’ (Live interview with Press TV) 

US envoy says "no hostile intent" toward North Korea (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Iran and Afghanistan 

Shanghai alliance SCO grants Iran full membership (Live interview with Press TV)

Taliban says talks underway in Doha on future Afghan govt. (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Covid-19

China rejects WHO call for further coronavirus origins probe (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Zhengzhou flood

How anti-Beijing media tried to hype the massive Zhengzhou floods to discredit China's infrastructural claims (TV panel discussion on CNN News18 of India) 

 

Hong Kong

How to promote Hong Kong (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) 

 

Cheer up and chill out

 

I have added some inspirational translations to the repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. A UK property and alternative asset opportunity is featured here .

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here.. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters 

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Tel Aviv and Washington D.C. 

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20)

Download Certificate of Appointment as Professor of Practice

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Download Certificate of Recognition as Certified Sustainable Development Planner

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Download 中國香港國際經貿合作協會簡介和組織架構  

Download A brief introduction to the China-Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List  

Shanghai alliance SCO grants Iran full membership

Live interview on17 September 2021with Press TV. 

Andrew's July 2021 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my July 2021 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website) 

Greetings! May I first wish you a relaxing summer, pandemics permitting!

 

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has just celebrated its centenary. Under its tutelage, the lives of the Chinese people, a fifth of mankind, have been miraculously transformed. China has become the world's second largest economy, largest trader and manufacturer, with notable advances in computing, 5G, AI, military and space capabilities. After a "Century of Humiliation", the Chinese people can now hold their heads up high, embracing the China Dream of national renaissance, including a greener and "more beautiful China".

 

According to Harvard and PEW research surveys, across the globe, the CCP is the government most trusted and supported by its people, belying questions about its legitimacy.  Meanwhile, perhaps by 2028, China may overtake the United States as the world's largest economy (albeit not in per capita terms).

 

On the other hand, China's growing global clout, its perceived transgressions on human rights, undesirable trade practices and assertive actions over the South China Sea, Taiwan, Xinjiang, and Hong Kong, are troubling Western nations and Asian neighbors. Indeed, China's image is plummeting across the world. 

 

China has no intention to rival the United States' 800 military bases in more than 70 countries. Its scientific and technological breakthroughs in multiple fields remain way behind the United States. The mighty dollar still reigns supreme. Nor can China hope its ideology will be readily embraced by more than a handful of countries, or that its culture will be more popular. 

 

Regardless, intensifying Great Power contest has totally upended US-China relations across the board, including ideologies, the military and space. On the other hand, the world is becoming more multipolar, with many countries, including most Western allies, hedging their bets. 

 

In this generational geopolitical maelstrom, how to avert war and promote peace will continue to tax the best minds. Would a little less binary or Manichaean thinking help?  On ideological application to China, should one recall Deng Xiaoping's black cat, white cat, or perhaps a hybrid cat in between? 

 

The following may hopefully serve to stimulate some fresh thinking. 

 

China's politics, economy, and finance

China: No longer the Global Growth Engine? (Feature article in The Global Analyst and a Bloomberg Research report warning) 

What China's Low Growth Means for the World - China's game-changing Five Year Plan (2021-25) (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

China's digital currency (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

Understanding China's Innovative Development (A PowerPoint presentation) 

China's 18.3% first quarter growth in 2021 - what's behind it? (Exclusive live TV interview on TRT World) 

 

US-China relations and Geopolitics 

New Concert of Powers (Feature article in World Geostrategic Insights, republished in Chinese, French, Spanish, Russian, and Arabic. (Original commentary)

Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community April 2021 (An analysis) 

Waning US must overcome fear of China's inevitable rise (Op-ed in South China Morning Post) 

How Will We (U.S.) Win the Second Cold War? (A riposte in World Geostrategic Insights) 

Can Asia guide Biden's China Policy? (An insightful analysis (video) by Professor Kishore Mahbubani) 

President Biden's State of the Union address - warning to Russia and China (Live interview on Press TV)

 

Energy and Climate Change

The Future of Power Is Transcontinental, Submarine Supergrids: China wants to lead the way in creating a global energy internet (An in-depth analysis)

Would a US-led Carbon Tax, instead of partnership, spur China's progress under the Paris Agreement? (Article in World Geostrategic Insights) (Original commentary)

 

Taiwan

Post-script on Taiwan (Feature article for the UK Liberal Democrats) 

American senators land in Taipei, trip likely to irritate China - but what is the end-game? (Live interview on PressTV) 

U.S. reaffirms partnership with Chinese Taipei during high-level visit (Live interview on Press TV)

China’s navy says ongoing drills near Taiwan to become regular (Live interview on Press TV)

 

Hong Kong

Changes at the top of the Hong Kong government (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) 

Hong Kong's Apple Daily to shut down in a few days after asset frozen - smoke and mirrors  (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) 

June 4 in Hong Kong under National Security Law (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong and a brief note on the future of Hong Kong Alliance in Support of Patriotic Democratic Movements of China) 

Hong Kong to introduce Beijing-imposed electoral reform - whys and wherefores (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) and a SCMP video documentary China’s Rebel City: The Hong Kong Protests.

Hong Kong Immigration Bill amendment controversy (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) 

Suspension of HK protest documentary "Inside the Red Brick Wall"  (Backchat discussion on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong) 

 

North Korea

North Korea rules out 'any contact' with US (Live interview on Press TV and a Foreign Policy report) 

Pyongyang accuses Washington of insulting dignity of North Korean leadership ( (Live interview on Press TV)

 

Russia 

Russia warns against Ukraine-NATO activities (Live interview on Press TV) 

 

Belt and Road  

Sri Lanka handing control over Hambantota Port to China  (Live TV panel discussion on CNN News 18 of India) 

 

History

Admiral Zheng He may have explored the New World way before Christopher Columbus (Exploring Zheng He's possible footprints in the New World) 

 

Cheer up and chill out

 

Here's a repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. A UK property and alternative asset opportunity is featured here .

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters 

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Tel Aviv and Washington D.C. 

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20)

Download Certificate of Appointment as Professor of Practice

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Download Certificate of Recognition as Certified Sustainable Development Planner

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Download 中國香港國際經貿合作協會簡介和組織架構  

Download A brief introduction to the China-Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List  

Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community April 2021

Download Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community April 9 2021

The relatively succinct unclassified Report by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) (not to be confused with the Director of Central Intelligence) gives a tour d'horizon of US national threats as currently perceived by the entire U.S. Intelligence Community. The China Threat, now regarded as America's top threat - is summarized in the introductory paragraph in the China section -

"The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will continue its whole-of-government efforts to spread China’s influence, undercut that of the United States, drive wedges between Washington and its allies and partners, and foster new international norms that favor the authoritarian Chinese system. Chinese leaders probably will, however, seek tactical opportunities to reduce tensions with Washington when such opportunities suit their interests. China will maintain its major innovation and industrial policies because Chinese leaders see this strategy as necessary to reduce dependence on foreign technologies, enable military advances, and sustain economic growth and thus ensure the CCP’s survival."

The Report ticks all the relevant boxes. Apart from the usual zero-sum binary mindset, reference to "CCP's survival" at the end of the above introduction seems to miss the main reason for the CCP's durability.

Among governments across the globe in terms of people's support, the CCP scores top ranking, even multiple ranks above the United States. This has been achieved by dramatically improving people's livelihood and aspirations over decades under its stewardship, as highlighted in a Harvard Kennedy School Ash Center Report of July 2020. 

Separately, there is a total absence of analysis on China's massive footprint in Africa, even in the extremely brief section on Africa. Regardless of the ODNI's priorities, this misses the full global picture of China's growing clout in the African continent which is blessed with the world's youngest and most dynamic population as well as a cornucopia of natural resources. 

Andrew's April 2021 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my April 2021 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website) 

Greetings!

 

While we remain consumed by Covid-19 fears, much of the world dynamics has changed almost beyond recognition. China's seemingly unstoppable rise and undaunted national confidence have engendered open or hidden anxieties, if not sinophobia, across the globe, not least in the United States and its Western allies. A fig-leaf of "cooperation" fails to hide a generational paradigm shift towards "extreme competition", if not a "Second Cold War", against China, subconsciously feared to erode the US-led liberal world order, with all that implies. 

 

A deeply-interconnected and interdependent world is now caught in a dilemma of disruptions, realignment of interests, and coercive actions with high-stake risks. Much seems to be knee-jerk reactions trying to avoid the unavoidable: a back-to-the-future reality that a 21st-century "Middle Kingdom" may soon regain its former prominence and global influence that characterized the world before the 18th century. 

 

How this pendulum swing may play out remains, at best, uncertain. The following may offer some useful food for thought. 

 

US-China geopolitics

How the US can offer a realistic response to the "China challenge"  (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) 

How Will We (U.S.) Win the Second Cold War? (An in-depth analysis) 

Biden-Presidency's first stormy US-China high-level talks in Alaska - what do they imply? (Live TV panel discussion on Indus News and other sources) 

China, US diplomats clash in public as Alaska talks kick off (Exclusive live interview on TRT World) 

Rogue Superpower: Why This Could Be an Illiberal American Century (Op-ed in World Geostrategic Insights) Click here for Foreign Affairs and other sources. 

US-China Relations - The Avoidable War: The Decade of Living Dangerously (Asia Policy Institute essay)

US strategy on China informed by systemic mistrust and misjudgment (Live interview on Press TV)

In Focus: South Asia - Military part of overall China threat  (Live TV panel discussion on Indus News)

America bids farewell to Trump, but Trumpism lives on (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)  

 

China Overview

China's game-changing Five Year Plan (2021-25) ((Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

China GDP: Growth Sans Productivity - How China is to overcome its productivity hurdle (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 

How China’s digital currency will thwart US dollar trap and help the world (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post) 

Why is China moving to a digital RMB? (A comprehensive analysis) 

How foreign businesses in China should respond to embedded "Party cells" (Asia Sentinel quotes) 

 

South China Sea

Contest of power in the South China Sea, dissecting dynamics of history, security and geopolitics (Live TV panel discussion on Indus News)

 

Human Rights

Western sanctions based on Xinjiang "genocide" claim (Some in-depth perspectives) 

China accuses EU of ‘hypocrisy’ over Uyghur row (Live interview with Press TV) 

 

Culture 

Is China "hijacking" Hollywood? (Live TV panel discussion on CNN News 18 of India and other sources) 

 

Covid-19

Why was WHO visit to China delayed and what's the global outlook on Chinese vaccines?(Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK))

 

 

Middle East

China's Economic Interests in the GCC are informed by energy security and global geopolitics (Op-ed in Politics Today) 

 

India

LAC disengagement - will it end India-China standoff? (Live TV panel discussion on CNN News 18 of India) 

LAC standoff: PLA, Indian troops begin process of disengagement but will be a long haul (Live TV panel discussion on CNN News 18 of India) 

India Budget 2021:How will India woo corporate refugees exiting China? (Live TV panel discussion on WION (World is One News) of India.

 

Hong Kong

Conviction of prominent pro-democracy activists spells end of democracy in HK? (Exclusive live TV interview on Channel News Asia (CNA) of Singapore) 

Beijing changes Hong Kong's electoral system (Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK) 

Controversy over Hong Kong British Nationality (Overseas) (BNO) Passports (Live TV interview on Channel News Asia (CNA) of Singapore and interview opinion piece on Sputnik News of Moscow. 

Dozens of Hong Kong opposition members arrested for subversion (Exclusive live TV interview on TRT World of Turkey)

Hong Kong fugitives crossing into Mainland China tried according to China's laws (Exclusive live TV interview on TRT World of Turkey)

How is Hong Kong impacted by changed US-China relations and problems with Covid-19 vaccines (Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK))

Macau and Hong Kong different paths to China. Why? (Inside Story TV panel discussion with Aljazeera English Channel) 

Hong Kong's elderly transport subsidy (Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong (RTHK) 

 

Cheer up and chill out

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words. There is also a collection in Chinese.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. A UK property and alternative asset opportunity is featured here .

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20)

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)

Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President  Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)

Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002

Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List , China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

India Budget 2021:How will India woo corporate refugees exiting China?

TV panel discussion on 30 January, 2021 with WION (World is One News), an international English-language news-based pay TV channel based in India. (My interventions are from time counter 2:09; 11:24; and 21:47)